Only a few hours after landing in Canada following their rain-shortened 2-0 win over the Boston Red Sox, the New York Yankees take on the Toronto Blue Jays with the chance to move even closer to clinching the AL East. Following a weekend sweep of the rival Boston Red Sox, the Yankees hold a 8.5 game division lead over 2nd place Toronto. With two wins this week, New York can secure its first division title since 2019. The Yankees vs Blue Jays series odds like New York’s chances to have a champagne celebration north of the border.
Toronto, on the other hand, is more focused on the Wild Card race. Currently, the Blue Jays hold the top spot and are two games ahead of the Tampa Bay Rays with the Seattle Mariners just a half-game behind Tampa Bay. The Blue Jays held court with the Rays over the weekend, winning the final two games of a four-game set. The Blue Jays odds to win the World Series would be greatly increased if they could lock up the top Wild Card seed and have home-field advantage in the opening round of the postseason.
- Game: New York Yankees (94-58) at Toronto Blue Jays (88-67)
- Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Pitching Matchups Favor New York
Outside of the rampant intrigue surrounding superstar Aaron Judge and his quest for his 61st (and 62nd) home runs of the season, New York doesn’t have a whole lot to play for. Yes, the Yankees haven’t clinched the AL East yet but they have a commanding lead and the clinch is basically a formality. They also will be running on fumes on Monday night after sitting through a long rain delay on Sunday night only for their game to be called after the 6th inning.
The Yankees vs Blue Jays series odds are heavily influenced by the pitching matchups and, overall, those favor New York.
New York will have the talented (but up-and-down) Luis Severino on the mound for the series opener in his second start off the MLB injured list. He’ll face Kevin Gausman, who is coming off a big bounceback performance following a few disappointing starts.
The Yankees vs Blue Jays series odds are heavily influenced by the pitching matchups and, overall, those favor New York. Severino isn’t the most reliable arm but he’ll be followed by Jameson Taillon and Gerrit Cole while José Berríos — coming off a terrible two-inning, six-run outing — goes on Tuesday. Toronto doesn’t have a starter listed for Wednesday but it won’t be staff ace Alek Manoah. It could be Mitch White, who hasn’t been very good for Toronto. So, even with the lack of rest and the relative lack of urgency, New York has the edge.
Judge Could Thrive On Road
The Yankees’ actual games have taken a major backseat to Aaron Judge’s pursuit of both the Yankees and AL single-season home run record over the past week or so. Every now and then, some MLB stats can overshadow the games themselves and that has definitely been the case for New York. Even with all of the interest, intrigue and pressure on Judge and the Yankees, however, the on-field product for Aaron Boone’s team hasn’t suffered. New York has won seven games in a row.
Plus, it might be a good time for the Yankees to go on the road. Judge hasn’t homered in his last five games and it has been clear that the Yankee Stadium crowds were growing a little restless in anticipation of some history-making home runs. The pressure and spotlight will still be on Judge in Toronto but playing away from home should take some of the edge off of both him and the team. Look for him to return to home run hitting form this week.
Blue Jays Have Been Up-and-Down
Toronto has kind of stumbled to the finish line of the MLB regular season, going 8-7 over the past few weeks to eliminate any legitimate chance of catching the Yankees. The Blue Jays have been wildly inconsistent from game to game, allowing 10+ runs in three of their last six contests and three runs or fewer in seven of their last 15 games. The bullpen has been a particular area of concern and that hasn’t been helped by the struggles of guys like Berríos and White.
It’s not like the Blue Jays have been tearing the cover off the ball either, as the Yankees vs Blue Jays series odds attest to. Outside of an 18-run outburst against the Phillies last week, Toronto has mostly been able to win with great starting pitching and some timely hits. Of course, Toronto is a team that relies heavily on its power but that has come and gone throughout the season. It won’t be easy against New York, which is starting to get key bullpen arms back off the injured list and is a top-five pitching staff in terms of overall ERA.
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