Astros vs Phillies betting preview: With the Astros in firm control of the series, the Phillies’ odds to win the World Series are paying big (+400). Considering how bad the Phillies have been against the American League on the road (8-21) dating back to the 2021 season, that is not an attractive betting option.
In 2022, Philadelphia was 9-11 against A.L., including losing a regular season-ending series at Houston. MLB Odds show the Astros as a -145 home favorite in game six. The MLB schedule is almost over, check our betting tips.
Phillies Leaning on Wheeler to Force a Game Seven
Zach Wheeler will get the ball for the Phillies in a literal must-win situation. Wheeler is 12-7 on the season with a 2.82 era, but the postseason has silenced the Phillies’ bats. For this reason, despite a 2.67 playoff era, Wheeler is just 1-2. Of his five baseball playoff starts, the Phils have provided less than three runs of production three times.
A fact that has contributed to the heavy influx of under money (93%) on a total that features a minuscule number (7). We’re not sure if game six should garner that much of a definitive opinion, with both teams capable of hitting that seven mark themselves. Of the five games, three of them have had seven runs or more.
The right-hander was dominant at Citizens Bank bank with a 1.85 era, but that number more than doubled on the road to 3.84. It doesn’t make us want to budge on a side wager but it doesn’t solidify our stance on the total. Let’s continue our Astros vs Phillies betting preview by taking a deeper look at the Astros.
Astros One Win Away From Second Title In Six Years
It’s hard to believe that from 2011-2013 the Houston Astros lost 324 games against just 162 wins. Jim Crane bought the team in 2011 and stripped it down immediately. The rebuilding process was a thing of beauty as the Astros were back in the playoff in 2015. Since, Houston has appeared in four World Series, winning in 2017 over the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The process should make organizations like the Pittsburgh Pirates envious. This year, the Astros spent about $18 million less than the Phillies and $51 million less than the Dodgers, but yet are on the verge of winning a title. History will tell you that Houston is in a great position after a game-six win.
In all best-of-seven postseason series that have been tied after four games, the team that won game five went on to win 45 of the 64 series (70%). Houston starter Framber Valdez is 2-0 with a 1.42 era in postseason games this season. Let’s conclude our Phillies vs Astros betting preview by giving you the easiest path to cashing a ticket.
Public on the Astros and Under
The betting public can feel the momentum swinging massively in the Astros direction, and their bets are backing that up with 90% of the run-line wagers backing Houston. The under is receiving heavy attention with 96% of early money wagered on the under.
To conclude our Phillies vs Astros betting preview, we recommend taking a flyer on the over. We’ve seen both MLB teams bats come alive just once, but we feel this may be ripe for that sort of game again. Wheeler has not been great on the road while the Astros lineup will be jacked up to put this away early. When the Phillies moved to Aaron Nola to pitch game four after a rain-out, resulting in a loss, that was the moment the Phillies started to suffocate in this series.Follow us on Twitter
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