Betting on Pac-12 Matchups: Utah at Arizona State Tops Slate
WSU to Get Solid Test From Oregon on Sunday
Those betting on Pac-12 matchups this week should have a couple of decent wagering opportunities on the NCAAB schedule. It’s a decent slate of games with several pretty good matchups, although many times the best value can be found in the games not drawing a lot of public attention.
The two Arizona teams host Colorado and Utah, while Stanford travels to Los Angeles. Sunday’s lone game between Oregon and Washington State has the potential to be a good one.
Thursday, Feb. 16
Those betting on Pac-12 matchups Thursday, find an interesting game between Colorado (14-12) and Arizona State (18-8). Neither team has played the most difficult schedule in the conference, so from a numerical standpoint, they’re pretty even.
Both teams are better defensively than they are on offense and as a result, ASU is favored by 2.5 with a total of 136. The Sun Devils are No. 2 in the nation in 2-point defense, so points should be tough to come by. But the total is low enough to remove any value in the game.
The line on No. 8 Arizona (22-4) has climbed a little bit and is now favored by 10.5 over Utah (17-9) with a total of 148. The Utes get a slight edge on defense but Arizona has a significant edge offensively. Utah is No. 33 in defensive adjusted efficiency and could easily be higher.
The Utes don’t force many turnovers but are in the top 10 in both 2- and 3-point field goal percentage. Utah scores more than 30% of its points from 3-point range, where the Wildcats are a little weaker defensively. A big revenge game for the Wildcats, who lost at Utah 81-66 on Dec. 1.
No. 4 UCLA is favored by 13.5 and the total on the game is 130.5 in a late-night ESPN2 contest. The Bruins opened Pac-12 Conference play with an 80-66 win over Stanford on Dec. 1.
The Bruins are clearly the better team and shouldn’t have any trouble with Stanford, although motivation is a bit of a question. The Sagarin college basketball ratings have the Bruins 10.85 points better on a neutral court, making the line close to those projections.
Saturday, Feb. 18
Anyone betting on Pac-12 matchups Saturday will take a good look at this game, which looks pretty competitive. The Sun Devils should be the slightest of favorites with a total about 134.
Both defenses rank in the top 35 in adjusted efficiency, while Utah is No. 85 and ASU is No. 124 on offense. This is the first meeting between the two teams this year. If the total is 134 or higher, there is fair value on the under.
A decent game here, as Colorado visits Arizona for an ESPN2 clash. The Wildcats should be favored by about 9 points with a total close to 151.5. Both teams like to play at a fast tempo and you can see why in the case of the Wildcats. But Colorado’s numbers suggest the Buffaloes would be more effective in a slower-paced game.
Colorado’s defense is quite a bit better than its offense, while Arizona is No. 10 in adjusted offensive efficiency. The Buffaloes could have a tough time against Arizona’s inside defense. The tempo of the game makes pulling the trigger on the under a little tough.
Expect to see the Trojans favored by close to 8 points with a total near 141. This one will come down to Stanford’s 3-point shooting, as the Cardinal will have a tough time scoring inside. Southern Cal is No. 3 in 2-point defense, but No. 154 in 3-point defense.
Stanford isn’t a great shooting team from 3-point range, but put up enough 3-pointers to make some. The Cardinal score 33.5% of their points from 3-point range. USC plays at a faster-than-normal pace. Stanford tries to play a bit slower. Those using this game for their NCAAB predictions should look to the under.
Sunday, Feb. 19
Those betting on Pac-12 matchups this week have one last opportunity as Oregon visits Washington State in what should be a solid game. Expect this one to be close to even with a total near 135. The Ducks are playing better, winning six of their last nine conference games.
Oregon’s offense has come alive, especially on the inside where the Cougars are a little bit weaker. The Cougars have gotten more respect than they deserve this season and can’t fault anyone who likes the Ducks in this spot. WSU can’t shoot the ball well and this one shapes up as a lower-than-expected game, so look to the under.Follow us on Twitter
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