Texas Must Win At Home Against Kansas State
We Have A Best Bet After Looking At The Kansas State vs Texas Odds
The Kansas State Wildcats will travel to Austin, Texas, to take on the Texas Longhorns in the second Big 12 matchup of the night.
Kansas State has lost four of its last five games, with the only win coming at home against Kansas in overtime. Meanwhile, Texas was just humiliated by the Houston Cougars, losing on the road, 82-61.
Both teams will need to regroup heading into this matchup.
The Wildcats are sitting at 5-7 in conference play after starting the year 4-1. On the other hand, Texas has played below expectations throughout conference play and is also sitting at 5-7 on the season.
With that said, Texas is an 8.5-point favorite, with the total currently at 141.5.
Let’s review the Kansas State vs Texas odds for this epic Big 12 matchup that will be featured on ESPN2.
Kansas State Wildcats vs Texas Longhorns 
Day/Time:
Location: Moody Center, Austin, TX
Streaming: ESPN2
Kansas State vs Texas Odds & Trends
Although Kansas State and Texas have winning records, neither team has done well against the spread this season.
Kansas State is just 2-5 on the road and sitting at 12-13 against the spread, despite a 15-10 record. The Wildcats have also hit the Under in 13 of 25 games this season.
On the other hand, Texas is 11-4 at home but has only won against the spread in nine of 25 games this year. The Over has hit more for the Longhorns, with 14 Overs in 25 games.
Texas won the most recent meeting on February 4, 2023, as two-point favorites. However, Kansas State has won two of the last three games against Texas. The team that has won the game outright has covered in four consecutive games.
Kansas State Isn’t An NCAA Tournament Team
The Kansas State Wildcats have an upset win over Kansas this month. However, they’ve also lost Oklahoma State, BYU, and TCU in the month.
That hasn’t helped their resume for the NCAA Tournament.
On Saturday, TCU’s Jameer Nelson Jr.. nailed a three-pointer with one second left on the clock to escape Kansas State, 78-75 on the road.
That left Kansas State stunned. Typically, the Wildcats are excellent in overtime. But a 25-percent three-point shooter nailed the game-winner to send all of Kansas State home unhappy.
The Big 12 isn’t an easy conference. But the Wildcats will need to finish out the regular season with some massive upset wins to get their name back in the mix for an NCAA Tournament run.
Last year’s run was excellent, but there are a lot of new guys they have to rely on in the program.
Is Tonight’s Game A Must-Win For Texas?
The Texas Longhorns really can’t afford a home loss to Kansas State.
The Longhorns have three home games and three road games left on the schedule. They’ll have matchups against Kansas, Texas Tech, Baylor, and Oklahoma. Therefore, Texas can still make the NCAA Tournament with a 16-9 record.
However, they must step up in their three home games and earn some big road games.
The final three road games are against Kansas, Texas Tech, and Baylor. None of those games will be easy. But if the Longhorns want to see their name on Selection Sunday, they probably need at least one, if not two, upsets against those Big 12 teams.
And then, after the regular season, the Longhorns could also use a little run in the Big 12 Tournament.
The Big 12 is deep and competitive this year. Every game matters. Even this one between 5-7 squads. At this point, this team can’t afford a home loss to a worse opponent as a favorite.
Can Kansas State Keep Up?
The Kansas State Wildcats are a weak offense. The Wildcats have hit just 30.4% from three, 52.6% from inside the arc, and have turned the ball over 21.4% of the time.
That turnover rate is one of the worst in college basketball this season.
The Wildcats should have success on the offensive glass. They’ve earned 34% of offensive rebounds, while Texas has allowed 30.5% of offensive rebounds. But before worrying about the offensive glass, the Wildcats must limit turnovers and actually get shots off.
With the Longhorns earning 18.7% of turnovers, that might be a legitimate issue for the Wildcats. They can’t grab offensive rebounds if they don’t shoot the ball.
Kansas State has had success at the foul line, hitting 73.4%. The Wildcats have also got to the foul line at an above-average rate. However, Texas hasn’t fouled at a high rate on its end. Texas doesn’t defend the three very well but has limited teams to 46.7% from inside the arc.
If Kansas State struggles from deep and turns the ball over at a high rate, the Texas defense should be fine on its home floor.
On offense, the Longhorns have shot 37.7% from three and 52.9% from inside the arc. They’ll also succeed on the offensive glass, with Kansas State allowing 31.2% of offensive rebounds this season.
The Wildcats have limited teams to 31.5% from deep and 45.6% from inside the arc. They’ve also blocked 12% of shots, which should remain high against the Longhorns.
Ultimately, Texas should still shoot at a higher rate and win the turnover battle. It wouldn’t be surprising if the Longhorns added more offensive rebounds and won the overall rebounding battle in this matchup.
This game is massive for the Big 12 standings. After looking through the Kansas State vs Texas odds, we like the Longhorns against the spread at -8.5 (-110). These college basketball odds make the most sense for tonight’s intense matchup.
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