The betting public is clearly on board with the Bulldogs, who are 11-point favorites (-110) and -400 on the moneyline. Conversely, Mississippi is +11 (-110) on the spread and +320 to win outright. The total is 59 (-110 Over, -110 Under).
Are the Rebels capable of pulling off the upset? Read on as we break down both teams and give our Mississippi vs Georgia free pick.
Location: Sanford Stadium; Athens, Ga.
Mississippi vs Georgia Betting Trends
The Mississippi Rebels are 6-2-1 against the spread. The Rebels’ 75% cover rate is the fourth highest in FBS. The total has gone Under in four of Mississippi’s last six games. Conversely, the Georgia Bulldogs are 2-6-1 ATS. The total has gone Over in five of Georgia’s last six games. However, it’s gone Under in eight of the last nine meetings between these teams. That’s important to remember when assessing our Mississippi vs Georgia free picks.
Perfect to Date
So far, so good for the top-ranked Georgia Bulldogs, who remain steadfast in their pursuit of a third straight national championship. The Bulldogs are 9-0 (6-0 in SEC play) after beating No. 12 Missouri 30-21 last week.
Despite their inability to cover the 14-point spread, the Bulldogs remained atop the AP Top 25 poll for an SEC-record 20th consecutive week. The Bulldogs have now won 36 consecutive games in the regular season dating to 2020.
Accordingly, Georgia is a -200 favorite in the SEC and a +250 co-favorite with No. 2 Michigan on the NCAAF championship oddsboard. Should the Bulldogs remain undefeated, they’re almost guaranteed a spot in the College Football Playoff.
The Bulldogs’ hopes seemingly took a big hit when All-American tight end Brock Bowers sustained a high-ankle sprain in an Oct. 14 win over Vanderbilt. Bowers, the team’s leading receiver (41 catches, 567 yards), subsequently underwent surgery and was expected to miss approximately four to six weeks.
Bowers’ absence hasn’t affected the Bulldogs. They’ve scored at least 30 points in four straight games. Much of that is a credit to Carson Beck, who’s stepped in seamlessly for Stetson Bennett at quarterback. In his first year as a starter, Beck has completed 72.2% of his passes for 16 touchdowns and only four interceptions per college football stats. Keep that in mind when analyzing our Mississippi vs Georgia free picks.
Keeping Pace in SEC
The Mississippi Rebels survived a scare last week, edging Texas A&M 38-35. A 3-point favorite, Ole Miss settled for a push after Randy Bond missed a potential game-tying 47-yard field goal.
The Rebels have already cashed in on their regular-season projection of 7.5 wins. How much higher can they climb? While they’re a +10000 longshot to win the SEC, the Rebels have a big opportunity to strengthen their standing this week. They already own two marquee wins, having beaten ranked teams in Tulane and LSU.
Ole Miss has a legitimate big-play threat in running back Quinshon Judkins. A sophomore, Judkins has run for 793 yards (4.7 yards per carry) and 12 touchdowns, tied for fourth most in the country. He’s coming off his third straight 100-yard performance (23 carries, 102 yards, 3 TDs).
The Rebels are ranked 12th nationally in total offense, averaging 478.9 yards per game. They’re also 14th in scoring (38.8 PPG). While they’ve scored at least 27 points in five straight contests, Georgia is easily their toughest test to date.
Handicapping the Game
Georgia may be without Bowers, but it has plenty of other suitable options to pick up the slack offensively. Beck, with only four interceptions over his first 295 attempts this season, has done well to limit the mistakes. As such, the Bulldogs are averaging a healthy 39.3 points.
Ole Miss has the talent to keep pace, but is it good enough to beat the country’s No. 1 ranked team? That’s a tall order. It’s hard to bet against Georgia, given its track record. The roster keeps changing, but the Bulldogs remain undefeated. Look for them to keep rolling in this spot.
Georgia -11 is a strong play. Hop on that before the line jumps any higher.
Pick: Georgia -11
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