Season-Long College Football Betting Strategies
With week 0 on our doorstep, there are a few strategies that have worked for years
The day most of us have been waiting for is just a few hours away, and that’s the start of the College Football schedule. Most of us will go into the season with high hopes, but few will have actual success as we navigate the NCAA Football against the spread. The best way to achieve your financial goals is to start off with a plan, and not just any plan, we need one that is backed by years of success. Let’s go through a few of these season-long College Football betting strategies.
Weather Plays A Massive Role In Winning
This technique doesn’t seem all that complicated, and it’s not. This system has produced four straight winning seasons (178-123, 59%) while suffering just two losing years since 2005. In that span, this system is 654-482-14 (58%), putting 133 units of profit in bettors’ bankrolls. This is how it works. We are looking for games where the wind blows over 13 MPH.
The idea is that teams will run the ball more, while defenses will put eight in the box or dial up a few more blitzes against a passing game featuring short to intermediate passes. As you can see, betting the under has been highly profitable for a very long time.
Unsurprisingly, the Illinois Illini have cashed more under tickets than any team in College Football with a 24-11 (69%) +11.4 units under these conditions at home, considering how bad the winds can be in the Champaign area. Florida Atlantic (14-3) and Bowling Green (13-3) follow the Illini.
Most NCAAF expert picks will sprinkle this trend with their weekly plays. Let’s continue our season-long betting strategies column with a slightly more complicated trend.
A Strategy That Is On A 18 Season Win Streak
Not every strategy is going to be easy. It won’t always be based on statistics or NCAA football rankings. Road conference underdogs getting 7 points or more is 424-293-13 (59%) +10,618 units since 2005. Over the last three seasons, this system is 59-40 (60%) +1433 units.
There have been a few close calls, like in 2017 when the strategy only produced eight units, but that has been a reliable crutch. There is one caveat, the total must be under 48. The idea behind that thinking is that we’d rather deal with two offenses that aren’t focused on producing a track meet. It makes sense that we’re trying to stay within a touchdown.
Vanderbilt has been incredible when using these parameters, with a 23-4-1 record that has produced 17.7 units of profit. Behind them is NC State (8-0) and North Carolina (8-2). This isn’t a trend that will produce 10 plays a weekend, but most will produce 2-4 opportunities throughout the season.
We conclude our College Football betting strategy column with one more trend that can added to your football arsenal.
Look For Home Teams Off Poor Performance
We’re not talking about a poor performance baked on winning or losing, we’re talking about a team that failed to score more than 10 points at home the week prior and now comes home as a favorite. This strategy has produced an incredible 91-49 record (65%) over the last six seasons (+3549 units).
Since 2011, this betting option has had just one losing season, winning 6126 units behind a 198-123 record (62%). The best teams have been Marshall (5-0), Michigan State (5-0) and Southern Miss (5-0), with Auburn (7-2) and Kent State (6-1) deserving honorable mention.
Again, this will produce a small number of games each week, but if you use all three of these proven strategies this season, you’ll have a responsible and winning College Football card each week. That does it for our look at a few proven College Football betting strategies; we wish you all the best with your wagers this season.
For college football betting news, odds, analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.
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