Can Wyoming Cover As Huge Underdogs When The Cowboys Head to Face No. 4 Texas
Texas dropped the hammer on favored Alabama to become the first visiting team to win by double digits in Tuscaloosa since 2004. The Wyoming vs Texas odds have the Longhorns favored by 29.5 points. The line opened at 28, but with most of the money coming in on the Longhorns, it has approached the 30-point mark. It won’t be surprising to see it top 30 before the opening kickoff.
Texas is 5-1 in its last six games when favored by at least 20 points.
Wyoming opened the season by taking down Texas Tech out of the Big 12 by an NCAAF scores today of 35-33 as 13.5-point underdogs. The Cowboys were 2-7 in their previous nine games against teams from the Power-5 conferences.
Something to consider is that Wyoming is 3-11 as a double-digit underdog since the start of the 2018 season and is 8-6 against the spread in those contests.
Starting quarterback Andrew Peasley is questionable with a shoulder injury for Wyoming. Running back Harrison Waylee is expected to make his season debut for Wyoming while receiver Will Pelissier is out.
Running back CJ Baxter is questionable for Texas.
Texas was tied for eighth in the odds of winning the national title coming into the season and is now tied for third at +1000 in the championship odds. Wyoming is priced at +100000 in the odds of winning the national title.
Texas moved up seven spots to No. 4 in the Associated Press poll, with the Longhorns picking up a pair of first-place votes. In the coaches poll, Texas went from 10th to sixth. Wyoming picked up votes in both polls.
Date & Time:
Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
Streaming: Longhorn Network
Line: Texas -29.5
Cowboys QB Ailing
Plenty of eyes will be focused on the health of Peasley. He has thrown five touchdown passes as Wyoming topped Texas Tech and Portland State. Peasley has also rushed for 111 yards this season, three shy of Sam Scott’s team-leading total. His status will play a role in the Wyoming vs Texas odds.
Wyoming has allowed just three sacks, while tight end John Michael Gyllenborg leads the team with seven catches.
The total has gone under in six of Wyoming’s last eight games.
Time for An Encore For the Longhorns
Texas hasn’t started a season 3-0 since 2012, and that season began with a win over Wyoming.
The Longhorns have won their last six games against the Mountain West Conference, with the previous five meetings finishing under the total. Keep that in mind when looking at the Wyoming vs Texas odds.
With Bijan Robinson and Roschon Johnson both in the NFL, the running game has taken a step back, with the yards per carry dropping from 5.2 to 3.5.
Wyoming is third in the Mountain West in rushing defense, so it will be worth watching to see if the Longhorns can hit the ground running.
Texas has covered the Week 3 contest in the previous five seasons.
The teams haven’t met since 2012, when Texas won 37-17 as a 31-point favorite. The game just missed going over the 55-point total.
The Longhorns and Cowboys played three times from 2009-12, with Texas outscoring Wyoming 112-34. Still, the Cowboys covered in each game with all three contests going under the total.
What to Expect
It won’t be a surprise to see Texas get off to a sluggish start coming off the win over Alabama as the Longhorns wrap up non-conference play.
This is one of six games in Week 3 between a pair of Football Bowl Subdivision teams with 2-0 records.
Wyoming’s win over Texas Tech could serve as a reminder of what happens when a Big 12 team takes the Cowboys lightly. A quick look at the college football schedule shows that Texas will face Big 12 teams the rest of the way after this game.
Texas is 5-1 in its last six home games, with Wyoming going 1-11 in the previous 12 matchups with Big 12 teams.
The Cowboys are 5-13-1 against the spread in their last 19 road games.
Wyoming covered in just one of its three games in 2022 as the road underdog, while Texas was 4-2 against the spread last season as the home favorite.
The total is set at 49.5. Unless it moves, this will be the first time in the last nine games that a Texas contest has a total under 50 points.
Texas should win the game and remain undefeated. However, when it comes time to make NCAA football predictions, don’t discount the possibility of Wyoming covering as the heavy underdogs.
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