With both teams slated to start backup quarterbacks, points figure to be at a premium. The Jets are currently a 3-point favorite (+100) and -150 on the moneyline, while the Giants are +3 (-120) against the spread and +130 to win outright. The total is just 36.5 (-110 Over, -110 Under), down from 38.5.
Who has the edge? Let’s dive into the Jets vs Giants betting trends and break down the odds.
Location: MetLife Stadium; East Rutherford, N.J.
Jets vs Giants Betting Trends
The New York Jets are 4-2 against the spread. The total has gone Under in eight of the Jets’ last 11 games dating to last year. The New York Giants, meanwhile, are 2-5 ATS. The total has gone Under in each of the Giants’ last five games. Be sure to keep those Jets vs Giants betting trends in mind when making your pick for Sunday.
Injuries Crippling Big Blue
The New York Giants halted their four-game losing skid in Week 7, edging the Washington Commanders 14-7. A 3-point underdog, New York recorded a season-high six sacks and ended one of the NFL’s most dubious droughts, scoring its first offensive touchdown in over three games. It also covered the spread for the second straight week.
At 2-5, New York still has a ways to go. Its offense continues to rank dead last in the NFL, averaging only 12.1 points per game. Oddsmakers have reacted, dropping New York to +2000 to make the playoffs.
Injuries continue to be a concern. The Giants are expected to be without quarterback Daniel Jones (neck) and All-Pro left tackle Andrew Thomas (hamstring) for another week. Although veteran Tyrod Taylor has played well in Jones’ absence, he doesn’t possess the same big-play capabilities as the former first-round pick. Saquon Barkley, who is among the NFL leaders with 284 rushing yards on 74 carries, remains the focal point of the offense.
Jones, signed to a four-year, $160 million deal in the offseason, was sacked a whopping 28 times over his first five starts this season. That’s still the second-highest total in the NFL.
Several other key Giants were limited in practice Thursday, including right tackle Evan Neal (ankle), center John Michael Schmitz (shoulder), wide receiver Wan’Dale Robinson (knee), tight end Darren Waller (hamstring) and cornerback Adoree Jackson (neck). Be sure to monitor their statuses when analyzing the Jets vs Giants betting trends.
Back to Even
The New York Jets are back at .500 after upsetting the Philadelphia Eagles 20-14 in Week 6. The Jets, a 6.5-point underdog, picked off Jalen Hurts three times and forced four turnovers in all.
The Jets — who were off in Week 7 — are now 3-3. Although that leaves them third in the AFC East behind the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills, oddsmakers are a lot more bullish about their chances of making the postseason (+200). Whether they can get there will largely depend on Zach Wilson’s development.
With four-time MVP Aaron Rodgers (Achilles) out, the Jets’ offense has become heavily dependent on its ground game. Breece Hall has been up to task coming off a torn ACL, with 426 yards on 66 carries (6.5 yards per carry). But the Jets still are averaging only 18.8 points and rank 30th in the NFL in total offense (277 yards per game). Wilson, who’s been sacked 19 times in six games, has yet to play to his capabilities as a former No. 2 overall pick.
Will that change? Perhaps. But until then, this is a low-scoring, grind-it-out type of team.
Fortunately for the Jets, cornerbacks Sauce Garder and D.J. Reed are expected to play Sunday after missing the Eagles win with concussions. The Jets may also get back rookie guard Joe Tippman.
Handicapping the Game
This is setting up to be a rock fight. It’s the second-lowest total on the board ahead of Atlanta-Tennessee (35.5). While the Giants’ offense showed some signs of life last week, they still managed only 14 points and nearly coughed the game away, with Barkley fumbling for just the fifth time in his NFL career.
Now they face the Jets’ dominant defense, which is well-rested coming off the bye. The Jets have made things difficult for some of the NFL’s top quarterbacks, including Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes. They’re set up well to have a strong day against Taylor.
The Jets are a deserving favorite. But when making your NFL picks against the spread, it may also be worth considering the total.