When the San Francisco 49ers visited Seattle two weeks ago, they came away with a 31-13 victory. Now, it’s Seattle’s turn to take to the road for this quick rematch. The last time Seattle was an underdog of 10.5 or more points was 2011. The Seahawks vs 49ers free pick will look at both teams and the historical trends to try and uncover a winning selection on the game.
Location: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, California
San Francisco Dominates Recent Meetings
The San Francisco 49ers have had its way with Seattle lately, winning and covering the spread the last four times the teams have met. The 49ers were favored by 9.5 points when the teams met in last year’s NFL playoffs.
But this is the first time they’ve been double-digit favorites since at least 1991. Being a double-digit favorite isn’t a role the 49ers have been great it, going 9-1 straight-up and 4-5-1 against the spread since the start of the 2019 season.
Seattle is in the middle of a three-game losing streak, although that’s a situation the Seahawks have fared well in. The Seahawks are 66-39-3 against the spread after two straight-up losses. Seattle traveled to Dallas last Thursday on a two-game losing skid and covered the spread with its overtime loss. The Seahawks are 25-17-2 ATS after three straight-up losses.
But this has been a season to back double-digit favorites. So far this year, favorites of 10 or more points are 10-5 against the NFL betting lines. They’ve also gone 14-1 straight-up, with Dallas’ loss at Arizona the lone defeat.
Seahawks See Playoffs Slipping Away
When the Seahawks were 6-3 just a few weeks ago, the playoffs seemed like a definite probability. But three straight losses have the Seahawks at 6-6. Seattle is still in the hunt, but the Seahawks will need some help.
The Seahawks gave the Cowboys all they wanted last time. But Dallas was able to prevail in overtime, 41-35. The Seahawks were a 9.5-point underdog, so at least they made their backers happy.
The Seahawks are pretty average offensively, scoring 22 points per game against defenses allowing 22.1 points on the NFL season. Seattle is primarily a passing team, throwing 34.5 times a game and running the ball 23.2 times. But the Seahawks are 5-0 straight-up when rushing for more than 100 yards.
On defense, Seattle is No. 23 in the NFL defensive rankings, allowing 353.7 total yards. Seattle is a little better stopping the run than the pass, although not particularly great at either.
Is San Francisco Best Team in NFC?
The three-game losing streak of the 49ers is a thing of the past. San Francisco is looking like the best team in the NFC and the sportsbook agrees. The 49ers were 3-point favorites on the road last week against the Eagles and blew them out. The fact San Francisco was favored on the road against a 10-1 Philadelphia team is pretty telling.
The 49ers are one of the few teams in the NFL that run more than they throw. You can’t blame them when they have a Christian McCaffrey in the backfield. McCaffrey is leading the NFL player stats in rushing with 1,032 yards. He has 12 rushing TD and 51 receptions good for another five touchdowns.
But it’s the 49ers defense that makes the team go. San Francisco allows 15.8 points per game and is solid against the run and the pass. There isn’t any one area the 49ers struggle in.
Can Seattle Keep it Close?
The Seahawks vs 49ers free pick sees Seattle in a favorable historical situation regarding teams who scored 35 points and lost their previous game. Since 1991, these NFL teams have gone 33-20 against the spread when they were on the road next game. They’ve been just 50-50 at home, so it’s a matter of deciding if there’s some advantage to being away from home.
The Seahawks vs 49ers free pick also notes Seattle has had a few extra days to get ready for this game, having played last Thursday. It’s a bigger NFL game for Seattle, which has the Eagles on tap. So at least you know you should get Seattle’s best effort.
With San Francisco, you have to worry a little bit about how motivated the team will be for this game. The 49ers just waxed Seattle on the road and are now coming off a huge win at Philadelphia. The 49ers are 7-9-1 ATS after a 20-point victory dating back to 2018.
Seahawks vs 49ers Free Pick
The trends are leaning to Seattle a little bit in this game. But the 49ers are playing at a higher level than the rest of the NFL right now. Still, this isn’t the best of situations for San Francisco. Coming off the Philadelphia game, San Francisco is ripe for a letdown.
The 49ers are good enough to win even if not entirely focused, which is the good thing about taking Seattle in this one. Take the Seahawks +10.5 in this one to keep it close. The extra rest and quick revenge situation should allow Seattle to keep it close and cover the point spread.