Madrid Derby on Sunday
Jude Bellingham’s Real Madrid career has gotten off to a dream start. In the English international midfielder’s first El Clasico, he scored twice against Barcelona as Real won 2-1. La Liga’s leading scorer will be in action once again on Sunday as Real Madrid take on Rayo Vallecano. Rayo are also a Madrid club and will certainly be up for this Madrid derby. Let’s take a look at the odds and the Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano H2H history ahead of this La Liga clash.
The Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano H2H results have, rather unsurprisingly, been dominated by Real. Still, Rayo Vallecano did manage to defeat Real Madrid 3-2 at home last November. Both meetings last La Liga season were close, as Real won the reverse fixture 2-1. Rayo haven’t won at the Santiago Bernabeu since 1996 but have won two of the last five matches between these sides.
Real Madrid Emerge as Clear La Liga Favorites
Real Madrid fell behind early vs rivals Barcelona in El Clasico last weekend. Still, Los Blancos didn’t fold and Jude Bellingham scored an outrageous long range strike midway through the second half to equalize. Bellingham was then in the right place at the right time when he sent in a deflected cross in stoppage time to win the match 2-1. Real Madrid’s standings show that they’re both on top of the La Liga table and their Champions League group.
Real have an excellent young core of Bellingham, Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo, Aurélien Tchouaméni and Fede Valverde that should be together for quite some time. In fact, Vini Jr. just signed a contract extension that will keep him at the club until 2027. With veterans like Luka Modric, Toni Kroos and David Alaba in the fold, Real have one of the most well-balanced teams in world football.
Perhaps the only thing they’re missing is an elite striker, but Joselu has been dependable when called upon this season. Bellingham leads La Liga, with 10 goals, but Joselu has also scored five times even though he’s made just five starts. Most La Liga predictions have Real Madrid winning the league and they’re currently -165 favorites to do so. Still, they’re level on points with Girona and Atletico Madrid are just three points behind with a game in hand.
Rayo Unbeaten in Last Seven
La Liga’s longest unbeaten streak doesn’t belong to any of the top four teams. Instead, Rayo Vallecano have gone unbeaten in their last seven La Liga matches. During that time, they’ve put together a 2-5-0 record and have played Sevilla, Villarreal and Real Sociedad. Rayo were minutes away from a defeat vs. Sociedad last weekend but Bebe scored a stoppage time equalizer.
Rayo Vallecano have been one of the most surprising La Liga teams this season and they’re currently in eighth place in the league. On Wednesday, Radamel Falcao and Bebe both scored twice in the 6-0 Copa del Rey victory over Atletico Lugones. Five of Rayo Vallecano’s last six matches in La Liga have finished in draws and they’ve scored twice in three of their last four.
Alvaro Garcia leads Rayo with three goals but they’re not necessarily a team that creates a ton of chances. Rayo’s industrious midfield plays hard and while they’re not the most creative bunch, they’re consistently able to win back possession and start attacks. So far, Rayo Vallecano have an impressive 3-2-1 record on the road.
Match Analysis & Odds
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano H2H previews note that Rayo have gone 27 years without a win at Real Madrid. Their chances to break that unwanted streak aren’t necessarily great. Real Madrid are -345 favorites, which corresponds to a 77.5 percent implied chance of victory. Meanwhile, Rayo are +800 underdogs for Sunday’s match.
Bettors can also take Rayo to grab a sixth draw in their last seven games at +475 odds. Real are 1.5-goal favorites and Real Madrid -1.5 shows -120 odds. Real Madrid have scored in every single match they’ve played this season and have scored ten goals in four home La Liga games. They’re a perfect 4-0 at home in the league and will expect to extend their streak.
Rayo Vallecano +1.5 sits at even odds here and each of the last seven La Liga matches between these teams have been decided by just one goal. Over and under three goals are priced at -110 odds as three of Rayo’s last four games have finished with four goals.