All season long, the Diamondbacks have been counted out. They’ve had many ups and downs, but they’ve fought and clawed their way back into relevance.
The Diamondbacks led the NL West for most of the first half. However, Arizona slumped and earned an NL Wild Card spot at the end of the year. Although the Diamondbacks don’t have many notable stars on the roster, they’ve overachieved and now find themselves one game away from a World Series appearance.
On the other hand, the Phillies ultimately have the best fanbase in baseball. The crowd showed up in Game 6. However, after earning just one run in the potential World Series clincher, the bats didn’t.
Now they’ll rely on Game 7 at home for a second consecutive World Series appearance.
The Phillies are still expected to win the NLCS when it’s all said and done. The Phillies sit at -155, while the Diamondbacks are +130 in Game 7. The total also hovers around 8.5, with both numbers at -110.
Here’s a look at the D’Backs vs Phillies betting odds for a Game 7 of the NLCS.
Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Moneyline: Phillies -155/Diamondbacks +130
Finally Running On The Basepaths
The Diamondbacks created a lot of runs with their baserunning throughout the year. However, against the Phillies, to begin the first two games of the series, Arizona didn’t even attempt to steal a base.
Eventually, when the Diamondbacks went home for Game 3, Arizona became more aggressive on the basepaths. It worked, as the Diamondbacks earned the first win of the series.
To begin the series, Philadelphia held on to Arizona’s runners for dear life. However, in Game 6, Arizona figured the Phillies out.
They added four stolen bases against three different pitchers once Aaron Nola came out. The key was to get Nola out, and it worked out.
Does Philadelphia Still Have Home Field Advantage?
The Phillies and their fans thought the MLB schedule in the playoffs would be a piece of cake after earning Game 5 on the road.
The Phillies were heading home after going up 3-2 in the series on the road. They knew all they needed was one win in the next two games.
Philadelphia hadn’t lost at home in the postseason. But in Game 6, all that changed. The Phillies faithful left their seats a little bit early, around the 8th inning, with the Diamondbacks up 5-1 in the game.
Nobody expected the Diamondbacks to find a way to win even one game against the Phillies. Now we’re headed to a Game 7.
The Phillies’ fans will bring the energy. The players will also be ready. Even Bryce Harper told the media that at the end of the day, this Game 7 is all that matters now.
You’re not going to want to miss Game 7. The winner of this game will head to the World Series.
Check out our D’Backs vs Phillies betting odds for Game 7 of the NLCS.
⚾ Game 7 ⚾
Tuesday, 8:07 p.m. ET
Brandon Pfaadt vs. Ranger Suarez
Can Pfaadt Make It Three in a Row?
The Diamondbacks have put a lot of pressure on Brandon Pfaadt in the postseason. The rookie wasn’t ready for the Major Leagues to begin the year. But through the second half and postseason, it’s clear how much potential Pfaadt has.
The rookie right-hander has thrown 12.2 innings for Arizona, allowing just 11 hits with three earned runs. He’s also struck out 15 batters while walking only one.
Although his start against the Brewers in Game 1 of the Wild Card series wasn’t great, he’s shut down the Dodgers and Phillies in back-to-back starts.
Yes, the rookie pitcher has allowed just four hits in his last ten innings against powerhouse offenses like the Dodgers and Phillies. He’s also struck out 11 batters and hasn’t walked a batter in his previous two games.
Pfaadt also hasn’t thrown any more than 70 pitches in any outing. Therefore, we’ll likely see the Arizona bullpen in Game 7. This is the same bullpen that threw four shutout innings in Game 6 to escape Philadelphia with last night’s win.
The rookie right-hander- is still 25, so he’s not super young. With that said, he’s thrown 32.4% of strikeouts and has only walked 1.4% of batters in the last 30 days.
Meanwhile, the Phillies have eight batters hitting a wOBA of at least .314 against righties over the last 30 days. They’ve also got six batters hitting an ISO of .181. But the offense also has five batters striking out at least 24.8% of the time. We saw the high strikeouts in Game 3 of the NLCS from Pfaadt against the Phillies.
Can Suarez Keep Up His Magic Too?
Although Ranger Suarez is the No. 3 starter for the Phillies, he’s looked like a No. 1. Suarez has thrown 14 innings in the postseason and has allowed just one run on seven hits.
The lefty has also struck out 13 while walking two. He’s also allowed only one solo home run, which was the one earned run he’s given up.
That puts his postseason ERA to .64, which is sensational. But like Pfaadt, Suarez hasn’t thrown more than 70 pitches in a start this season. So we can still expect the Phillies bullpen to get the bulk of this game. Suarez hasn’t even gotten through six innings despite his fantastic starts.
Meanwhile, Arizona’s lineup has four batters hitting MLB stats with a high ISO and wOBA against lefties. That’s Ketel Marte, Gabriel Moreno, Christian Walker, and Tommy Pham. The rest of the lineup has struggled to find any power against lefties in the last 30 days.
The MLB lines that we’d look at are the total runs. The Under 8.5 makes the most sense between two pitches that haven’t allowed a run in their last two games. However, if you’re looking for a side using the D’Backs vs Phillies betting odds, we’d back the Phillies with the better lineup matchups.
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