Phillies vs Marlins Odds: Philadelphia Slight Favorite in Series Opener

The Phillies vs Marlins odds see Taijuan Walker -104 over Miami’s Edward Cabrera in Monday’s opener of the four-game series. The total on the game is 8 and the Phillies are +155 on the run line at -1.5. The Marlins +1.5 runs is at -175.

The Phillies enter the series just a half-game behind Miami in the MLB standings. The Marlins cling to the final wild card position, so both teams will be looking for a series win. The remaining schedule will favor Philadelphia. The Phillies are 28-20 at home and 28-29 on the road. So Philadelphia’s remaining schedule will be heavy in home games, especially when this four-game road series is over. Philadelphia is a much better team at home.

The Marlins are a good home team, going 33-21, and 24-28 on the road. Miami will have a few more road games on the schedule when this series is completed. The biggest difference for Miami when home or away is the average baseball scores. The Marlins allow 4.02 runs at home and 4.62 runs on the road.

Walker is having a nice season for the Phillies, going 11-4 with a 4.06 ERA. Philadelphia is 15-6 when he starts and 8-12-1 in totals. The Phillies have won eight of his last nine starts.

Cabrera is 5-6 on the season with a 4.74 ERA. Miami is 8-8 when he starts and have dropped his last three outings. But Cabrera has been a much better pitcher at home, where the Marlins are 5-1 with him on the mound. Miami is 1-5 in totals when he starts at home. Coupled with Walker’s better-than-average under record, the under looks to be the way to go in this game.

Tuesday’s Game

Ranger Suarez is the scheduled starter for the Phillies. The Marlins haven’t officially named a starter, but Sandy Alcantara typically follows Cabrera in the rotation. If Alcantara gets the nod, expect the Phillies vs Marlins odds to see Miami as small favorites.

Suarez is 2-5 with a 4.22 ERA. Philadelphia is 8-6 in the games Suarez has started, so don’t let his personal win – loss record fool you. He’s pitched better than that.

Alcantara hasn’t pitched as well as he has in the past. He’s just 4-9 with a 4.46 ERA, which is more than a run higher than his lifetime ERA. The Marlins are 8-13 when he starts and 14-6-1 in totals. Alcantara is coming off one of his better baseball games of the season, pitching a complete game at Tampa Bay. The Marlins won 7-1.

The Phillies could be the way to go here if they come out as underdogs.

Wednesday’s Game

Zack Wheeler will get the start for the Phillies. The Marlins haven’t named their starter, although it will be Braxton Garrett’s turn in the rotation. Wheeler is off to a decent start, going 8-5 with an ERA of 3.74. The Phillies are 14-7 when he starts and 7-4 when he starts on the road.

The Marlins are 15-5 when Garrett starts. Miami has allowed 17 runs in his last three starts, losing two of them. They did come out with a 6-5 win over Detroit in his last start. The Marlins have gone 8-2 at home when Garrett starts. If the Phillies vs Marlins odds have the Phillies as favorites, Miami could be a decent underdog play.

Thursday’s Game

The Phillies will give the ball to Aaron Nola in the series finale. The Marlins haven’t named a pitcher. But Johnny Cueto looks to be the one most likely to start here if the team sticks to its recent rotation.

Nola is 9-7 with a 4.43 ERA, so he’s not having his usual season. The Phillies are 11-11 when Nola starts and 13-8 in totals. Philadelphia is 6-8 with Nola on the road and 8-5-1 in totals.

The Marlins have lost all three of Cueto’s starts, although he hasn’t pitched all that badly. He did allow four runs in six innings last start after allowing one run in six innings his previous outing.

With Nola struggling a bit on the road, the Marlins might offer a little bit of value if the Phillies come out as large favorites.

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