White Sox vs Angels Betting Analysis: LA in Wild Card Race
Chicago's Road Woes Keep Team From Contending
The White Sox vs Angels betting analysis notes that away games haven’t been kind to Chicago this season. Chicago is 14-25 away from home. Only three teams have fewer road wins than the White Sox. Chicago will have to turn that around quickly, as it visits the Angels for a three-game series starting Monday.
Chicago is 20-20 at home this season, so the ability to win some games is there. It just has yet to translate to winning on the road. Chicago is No. 22 in team batting average and runs scored. So it’s safe to say offense isn’t a strong point.
The White Sox aren’t any better pitching, sitting at No. 23 in team ERA. The bullpen has been brutal, with the Sox converting on just 15 of 31 save opportunities.
Chicago has won its last two games and is 5-5 when playing after two straight victories and 2-3 after three consecutive wins.
The Angels are just one game out in the AL wild card race. But Los Angeles trails the Texas Rangers by 6.0 games in the AL West. The Angels are No. 9 in team batting average and No. 6 in runs scored. With the pitching staff ranked No. 15 in team ERA, the Angels should be better than their 42-37 record.
Based on run differential, the team’s expected win-loss mark is 43-36. The Major League Baseball matchups haven’t always gone their way. Los Angeles is No. 3 with 27 saves. But the Angels are tied for No. 1 in save opportunities at 41, so they’ve let 14 games get away.
Monday’s Game
The White Sox vs Angels betting analysis shows Reid Detmers -132 over Chicago’s Dylan Cease in the opener. The total on the game is 8.5 juiced to the under at -120. The Angels are favored here mainly because they’re at home. The two pitchers have comparable stats. But the White Sox win with Cease. The Angels don’t with Detmers.
Cease is pitching to a 4.22 ERA, while Detmers has a 4.02 ERA. Chicago is 9-7 with Cease starting, while the Angels are 4-9 with Detmers on the mound.
The White Sox are no longer terrors against left-handed starters. After going 40-18 against southpaws in 2020 and 2021, Chicago is 8-11 when facing a left-handed starter this season. The White Sox have a bit of value here based on the records of each team with their respective starters.
Tuesday’s Game
Michael Kopech is expected to start for the White Sox against Shohei Ohtani. The Angels will be huge favorites, with Ohtani one of the more popular pitchers in baseball betting. Still, some of that popularity is warranted.
Los Angeles is 10-5 when Ohtani starts, allowing 3.53 runs per game. The Angels don’t always score a lot for Ohtani, averaging just 3.93 runs with him on the mound.
Chicago is 6-9 with Kopech on the mound, dropping his last three starts. The White Sox score 4.13 runs and allow 4.53 runs with Kopech pitching. Chicago is 2-4 in his road starts, with three of the four losses by a single run. The Angels are the likely winners here, but it will be tough to lay the type of odds that will be required in this spot.
Wednesday’s Game
The White Sox vs Angels betting analysis has Lucas Giolito and Jaime Barria as the listed starters for the finale. Giolito has pitched decent this season. Not as good as some of his previous years, but still solid with a 5-5 record and a 3.51 ERA. The White Sox are just 6-10 when he starts and 3-5 when he starts on the road. Chicago has won three of his last four starts away from home.
Barria is quietly having a solid season. He’s 2-2 with a 2.14 ERA. The Angels have won all four of his starts and he’s pitched 12 games coming out of the bullpen.
Five innings is the most he’s thrown in any start, so the Angels will likely be going to the bullpen in the middle of the game. The under could be the way to go in this one.
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