EchoPark Automotive GP Odds: Favorites, Sleepers this Week in Austin

First Road Course Race of Cup Series Season Sees New Favorite

A chaotic race featuring extreme tire wear gave Denny Hamlin his first win of the season last week in Bristol. This week, the NASCAR Cup Series trades that challenge for a new one: the first road course race of the season.

The grid heads to Austin, Texas and the Circuit of the Americas track for the fourth year in a row. This weekend sees a new favorite in the EchoPark Automotive GP Odds.

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EchoPark Automotive GP Odds: Reddick leads favorites

  • Tyler Reddick (+400)

Reddick’s had a rocky start to 2024. He nearly won in Las Vegas, ultimately finishing second, but that remains his best result by far this season. He led the most laps and won Stage One in Phoenix but finished 10th. Outside of that, he’s finished 29th or 30th in the other three NASCAR races.

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But he’s leading these NASCAR betting odds because he won this race last year, finished fifth the year before, and took pole in 2021. Three of his five career Cup Series wins have come on road courses. No one’s won consecutive races at this track yet but Reddick could be the one to do it.

  • Chase Elliott (+750)

Elliott notched his first top-10 finish this season with eighth place in Bristol. Like Reddick, Elliott’s one of the best road course drivers on the Cup Series grid. Of his 18 career Cup Series wins, seven have come on road courses. He won this race in 2021 and finished fourth in 2022 before missing last year’s race due to injury. He’ll be near the front again.

  • Shane van Gisbergen (+900)

How does a driver who has never raced at the Circuit of the Americas have the third-shortest odds for victory? Van Gisbergen’s background is in road course racing, specifically with Australian Supercars. His first NASCAR Cup Series race was last year’s Chicago street course race, which he won.

He’s currently racing full-time in the Xfinity Series and sits 14th in today’s NASCAR results in that series. It would not be a surprise to see him grab a surprise win at the Cup Series level this week.

Sleeper Picks for Victory

  • Ty Gibbs (+1100)

Gibbs continues to impress in his sophomore season in the Cup Series. He’s third in the standings after winning Stage One and Two in Bristol and finishing ninth. He’s just seven points behind leaders Kyle Larson and Martin Truex Jr.

Gibbs finished ninth in this race last NASCAR season. He also had top-five finishes at other road courses last year, including the Charlotte Roval (fourth) and Watkins Glen (fifth).

In the Xfinity Series, four of his 12 wins came on road courses, including Road America (arguably the most similar track to Circuit of the Americas). His first Cup Series win is coming and could be this weekend.

  • Ross Chastain (+1200)

Besides Reddick and Elliott, Chastain is the only other driver to win on this track in Austin with his victory in 2022. That was his first career Cup Series win and he’s raced well at road courses since then. He finished fourth at both Road America in 2022 and this event last year.

Chastain’s also had a mixed start to the season. Top-10 finishes in Atlanta, Las Vegas, and Phoenix were balanced out by 21st in Daytona and 15th in Bristol. He could use this week to secure his spot in the playoffs once again.

  • AJ Allmendinger (+1500)

Like Reddick, Allmendinger’s always a threat for victory on a road course. The former IndyCar driver’s excelled on road formats throughout his NASCAR career. His two Cup Series wins came at the Charlotte Roval and the Indianapolis Road Course.

He has two career wins at this track in the Xfinity Series, including last year after taking pole position in NASCAR qualifying. Two of his best results in the Cup Series last year came at road courses: Watkins Glen (fourth) and the win at Charlotte. He’s a great high-payout option.

  • Alex Bowman (+2500)

Bowman’s never won on a Cup Series race on a road course but he’s always done well at this track. He’s finished in the top three in each of the last two years and managed eighth from 12th on the grid back in 2021.

Last season, he finished third in Austin and fifth at the Indianapolis Road Course. Like Allmendinger, he’s a buy-low candidate who could offer a very worthwhile payout.

EchoPark Automotive GP Odds:Picks for winner and top five

The season’s first road course of the season offers a unique challenge given the track layout. Two long straights, a group of esses, and multiple hairpins are a far cry from the typical ovals the grid’s used to.

That means a few drivers in particular will excel. Of the favorites, go with Elliott. He’s been consistently in the top 15 of every race and his road course prowess will shine through. Of the sleepers, go with Allmendinger. He’s a proven winner here.

For the top five, look for:

  • Elliott (+140)
  • Chastain (+200)
  • Gibbs (+200)
  • Allmendinger (+250)
  • van Gisbergen (+150)

For NASCAR betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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