Auburn Looks To Continue Its Recent Run of Success At Home Versus Alabama
It might be an understatement to suggest that rivals Auburn and Alabama are heading in different directions, with the Auburn vs Alabama football betting lines listing the visiting Crimson Tide as double-digit favorites.
Alabama has already clinched the SEC West Division and will play in the SEC championship game for a record 16th time. Auburn is coming off a 31-10 loss to New Mexico State. The Tigers were 42-1 against teams outside the Power-5 conferences coming into that game dating back to the 2009 season.
Receiver Ja’Corey Brooks, defensive back Jaylen Key (46 tackles, one interception), and linebacker Deontae Lawson (52 tackles, two sacks) are questionable for Alabama.
Defensive lineman Mosiah Nasili-Kite is out for Auburn.
Alabama is tied for fourth with +650 odds of winning the national title.
Alabama remained at No. 8 in both the Associated Press and American Football Coaches Association polls. The Crimson Tide came in eighth in the most recent College Football Playoff rankings.
When it comes to the college football schedule, next up for Alabama will be a showdown with No. 1 Georgia in the SEC championship game, followed by a bowl game. Auburn has also become bowl-eligible.
Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
Line: Alabama -14.5
Milroe Getting the Job Done
While Alabama’s passing yards per game is down from a season ago, the Crimson Tide has a better passer efficiency rating with Jalen Milroe running the offense than a season ago when No. 1 overall NFL Draft pick Bryce Young was the starting quarterback.
Milroe is second only to LSU‘s Jayden Daniels among SEC players in passing efficiency. Daniels is the only NCAA football player at the Football Bowl Subdivision level to average more yards per passing attempt than Milroe’s mark of 10.6. Keep that in mind when looking at the Auburn vs Alabama football betting lines.
Milroe also has 12 touchdown runs as Alabama has won nine straight games since losing to Texas. He could be tested by an Auburn defense that has allowed only 10 touchdown passes in seven SEC games.
Alabama has covered against the college football betting lines in seven of its last eight games.
Passing Game a Thorne in Auburn’s Side
So much for former Michigan State quarterback Peyton Thorne taking the SEC by storm.
He has thrown one touchdown pass or less in seven games this season. Thorne has two touchdown passes in the five losses this season. It is a much different story from what is happening with former Auburn quarterback Bo Nix, as he is a front-runner to win the Heisman Trophy for Oregon.
Auburn is 11th in the SEC with an average of 5.7 yards per offensive play, and that could come into play in the Auburn vs Alabama football betting lines.
Auburn has the second-fewest offensive plays of at least 10 and 20 yards among SEC teams this season.
Alabama put up 35 points in the first half in a 49-27 win in the 2022 game in Tuscaloosa.
The game went over the 51-point total on a Jase McClellan touchdown run with 9:57 to go in the third quarter. The game landed right on the 22-point line.
Alabama has won the last six home games against Auburn by an average of 26.7 points. However, the games at Auburn have been much more competitive, with Auburn winning three of the last five games at home against Alabama.
Alabama vs Auburn Betting Preview
Auburn is in spoiler mode once again. Alabama will need to beat the Tigers and then win the SEC championship game against Georgia to have any chance to return to the College Football Playoff field.
Auburn already has six wins, so the Tigers will be headed to a bowl game regardless of the result of this game. The seniors will look to avoid going 0-for-4 against the Crimson Tide.
Auburn is 1-1 against the NCAAF betting odds as the home underdog this season, with Alabama 3-1 as the road favorite.
The total has gone over in six of the last seven games, and a high-scoring game should benefit the visiting Crimson Tide. The total has gone over in eight of the previous 10 games when Auburn is the underdog.
Auburn has lost 14 of its last 19 SEC games, and this will be no easy task considering what is at stake for Alabama.
Seven of the last 11 games between Alabama and Auburn finished over the total. However, three of the previous four times that Auburn played host to the Crimson Tide, the game landed under the total. The total is currently at 49 for this college football matchup, and that is the first time since 2017 that an Auburn-Alabama game has a total under 50.
Perhaps Auburn can shake up a head-scratching effort in a loss to New Mexico State to hang around with the favored Crimson Tide. However, going with the Crimson Tide to take care of business seems like the best way to proceed.
Alabama is just 3-3-1 against the spread in the last seven games as a double-digit favorite against Auburn. This season, Alabama is 6-0 (4-2 against the spread) when favored by at least 10 points. Auburn has lost its last 12 games as a double-digit underdog and is 5-6-1 against the college football betting lines in those games.