Many analysts and fans of the SEC mentioned that Georgia’s team hasn’t looked as good as the previous National Championship teams.
While they might be true, the Georgia Bulldogs just knocked off a top-ten opponent, Ole Miss, 52-17 at home last weekend. The Bulldogs are now 10-0 with back-to-back wins against tough opponents like Missouri and Ole Miss.
Now they’ll take on a Tennessee Volunteers team that scored just seven points against Missouri on Saturday in a 36-7 loss. That was the lowest amount of points that Tennessee has scored this season.
With Tennessee at home, oddsmakers still have Georgia sitting at -10.5, totaling 59.5. With Georgia coming off its best game and Tennessee coming off its worst game, is there any reason to back the Volunteers on Saturday?
We’ll provide our Georgia vs Tennessee free picks for this SEC matchup on Saturday’s CBS telecast.
Location: Neyland Stadium
Georgia vs Tennessee Free Picks & Betting Trends
Georgia’s 10-0 on the season, but oddsmakers haven’t quite figured the Bulldogs out this season.
Georgia is just 4-6 against the spread, with the Over hitting in six of ten games this season. The Bulldogs hit their most recent spread at -11 against Ole Miss, with a 52-17 win. But they’ve been trading covers over the last month or so.
On the other hand, Tennessee lost as 2.5-point favorites against Missouri last weekend, 36-7. The Volunteers had won two straight games against the spread prior to that road defeat.
Still, Tennessee has seen the Over hit in five of ten games this year. One game was a push. Therefore, the Over has hit more often this season in Georgia and Tennessee games.
Georgia last lost to Tennessee in 2016, 34-31. However, Georgia was a 3.5-point underdog and covered in that game anyway. Georgia has also covered four straight games as 9.5-point favorites or more against Tennessee throughout the years.
Georgia’s Back In The SEC Championship Game
It doesn’t matter what happens against Tennessee. The Georgia Bulldogs have already clinched an SEC Championship date against the Alabama Crimson Tide.
The Bulldogs will take on Tennessee this weekend and Georgia Tech in the following weekend. That game won’t count towards SEC play, with Georgia Tech playing in the ACC.
The last time Georgia lost a game was in 2021 against Alabama in the SEC Championship game. Hopefully, for the Bulldogs’ sake, they don’t look past these first couple of games in preparation for the SEC Championship game.
With Georgia’s win streak at 26 games, it’s hard to imagine that they’ll look past any opponent. However, the defense has allowed more points at least 20 points in five games this season, which seems a bit high for the Bulldogs.
Should Tennessee Bench Joe Milton III?
Tennessee fans are up in arms after last week’s game against Missouri. The Vols lost to the Tigers, 36-7, in a huge SEC matchup between two ranked opponents. But Tennessee didn’t look like it belonged.
The Vols only gained 15 first downs despite adding 350 yards of offense. They had nine penalties that cost them 95 yards and three turnovers, including two fumbles and an interception.
But the blame can’t entirely be on Joe Milton. It was a poor offensive performance all around. Milton III has a 69.2 QBR, which is the 34th best in the nation. He’s also thrown for 16 touchdowns and five interceptions, with nearly 2,300 yards passing.
Tennessee fans would probably like to save embarrassment against Georgia. If Milton were benched this weekend, Tennessee would struggle to find its offense.
Vols fans need to be careful what they wish for. The grass isn’t always greener on the other side.
Will Tennessee’s Offensive Line Hold Up?
With how poorly the Volunteers have played on the offensive line this season, it’s impressive that Milton III only has five interceptions this season.
The Volunteers have a quality run game with Jaylen Wright, as he’s averaged 7.2 yards per carry. But with Georgia holding opponents to 107.9 yards per game on the ground, it’s unlikely that Tennessee will earn massive gains on the ground in this one.
Georgia’s extremely disciplined with its tackling and has some of the best coverage play in all of college football.
On the other hand, Carson Beck has gone under the radar for Georgia. He’s thrown 18 touchdowns with five interceptions and has a QBR of 84.4. His 3,022 passing yards are up there with the elite quarterbacks in college football.
Tennessee has allowed way more passing yards per game than Georgia and has also allowed about six more yards on the ground per game.
With Georgia averaging 40.6 points per game, it’s unlikely Tennessee has enough juice offensively to escape Georgia and earn a considerable upset.
Our Georgia vs Tennessee free picks and best bets include Georgia at -10.5 (-110).
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