Bears vs Chiefs Betting Preview: All is Well Again for Kansas City

Can the Kansas City Chiefs add to the Chicago Bears’ September woes? The Bears are already 0-2 and have seen regression at quarterback.

Because of that, the betting public doesn’t seem to have much trust in Chicago. After opening as an 11.5-point favorite, Kansas City is now up to -13 (-110) on the spread and -750 to win outright. Conversely, Chicago, a 13-point underdog (-110), is +550 to pull off the upset. The projected total is 48 (-110 Over, -110 Under).

Read on as we break down the matchup in our Bears vs Chiefs betting preview.

Betting Trends

The Chicago Bears have lost five straight games against the spread and are 0-10 over their last 10 games straight up. The total has gone Over in 10 of Chicago’s last 13 games. Meanwhile, the Kansas City Chiefs are 4-2 ATS over their last six games. The total has gone Under in each of the last seven games between these teams. That’s important to remember when assessing the odds in our Bears vs Chiefs betting preview.

Returns of Kelce, Jones Pay Dividends

After a dispiriting loss on opening night, the Kansas City Chiefs rebounded in Week 2 with a 17-9 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars. It was by no means flawless. The Chiefs committed three turnovers and were penalized 12 times for 94 yards. But it was still enough for Kansas City to cover the 3-point spread and even its record at 1-1 (1-1 ATS).

The Chiefs importantly got back not only tight end Travis Kelce (hyperextended knee) but also defensive tackle Chris Jones (contract holdout). Both contributed in a big way. Kelce had a touchdown catch, and Jones recorded 1.5 sacks.

Oddsmakers are obviously bullish on the defending Super Bowl champions, pricing them a +325 favorite to win the AFC. They also share the shortest Super Bowl odds (+700) with the San Francisco 49ers.

It’s no secret why. The Chiefs have a two-time Super Bowl winning head coach in Andy Reid and arguably the NFL’s best player in quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes — who was rewarded this week with a record-setting $210 million extension over four years — is +800 to win his third NFL MVP award. Through two games, he’s completed 62.5% of his passes for 531 yards, four touchdowns and two interceptions per NFL player stats.

The one obvious flaw for Kansas City is at the receiver position. Skyy Moore, Justin Watson and Kadarius Toney are all unproven, increasing the need for Kelce, an eight-time Pro Bowler, to stay healthy.

Same Old Bears? Appears So.

After two weeks, the Chicago Bears are right where they were last season: sitting at the bottom of the NFL standings. Chicago is 0-2 (including 0-2 ATS), and it doesn’t look as if things will change for the better anytime soon.

Most troubling is the performance of Justin Fields. A preseason sleeper for NFL MVP (+2500), Fields was downright bad in losses to Green Bay and Tampa Bay. He’s already been sacked 10 times and has a QBR of 22.2, 31st in the NFL.

When asked Wednesday of his struggles, Fields placed some of the blame on the Bears’ coaching staff. At the same time, Fields did acknowledge that he’s not free of fault. The former first-round pick is just 5-22 as a starter with Chicago. He’s fumbled 31 times in those games while getting sacked 101 times. His completion percentage during that time? Just 59.8%.

That won’t get it done. It’s why the Bears have lost 10 straight dating to last season and remain in the basement in the NFC North. Many expected them to take a big step forward this fall — the Bears were projected for 7.5 wins, with the Over boosted to -130 — but that appears highly unlikely at this point.

Handicapping the Game

Many are expecting a blowout. This game features the largest NFL spread this week. Can you blame them? The Chiefs are, well – the Chiefs. While their offense has yet to get in sync, they’re still one of the most dangerous teams in the NFL.

The Bears, on the other hand, are a mess. A mess. What else is there to say? They were supposed to take a big step forward this season, but instead, they’ve flopped. Fields is playing too robotic, and now he’s blaming the coaching staff. That has a chance to get ugly.

Even though -13 is a big number, it’s hard to place any trust in the Bears at the moment, especially at Arrowhead. Look for the Chiefs to cover in our Bears vs Chiefs betting preview.

For NFL betting news, odds, analysis and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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