Chiefs vs Jaguars Betting Odds: KC Visits Jags in Playoff Rematch

The Kansas City Chiefs look to even their record when they travel to Jacksonville on Sunday. The Chiefs eliminated the Jaguars in the playoffs 27-20 last year in a non-covering effort. The Jaguars have had this game circled since the NFL schedule first came out. But wanting to play Kansas City and defeating Kansas City are two completely different things. The Chiefs have had a few extra days to gear up for this game after their Thursday night defeat at the hands of Detroit. Jacksonville traveled to Indianapolis and took care of business. The Chiefs vs Jaguars betting odds have Kansas City -3.5 with a total of 51.

Chiefs Tend to Bounce Back After Defeat

Kansas City hasn’t lost often in the past three seasons. But when they do, the Chiefs have shown an ability to rebound with a victory. Going back to the 2020 season, Kansas City is 8-1 after a loss. But the Chiefs are just 5-4 against the point spread. The NFL spread is low enough in this game that it might not come into play.

The Chiefs weren’t at their best against Detroit, gaining just 316 total yards and having quite a few dropped passes and other uncharacteristic plays. Kansas City didn’t deserve to win the game. The Lions’ defense was good, but not great. But Detroit did come up with enough big plays to get the victory, which is all that really matters.

It’s no secret the Chiefs are better offensively than on defense. But the Kansas City NFL team defense stats weren’t all that bad last season. The Chiefs’ defense is no longer a detriment to the team. It’s just not the strong point. Kansas City was No. 16 in total defense last year and should wind up in the same ballpark this season.

Jaguars Perfect 5-0 as Home Dogs in 2022

Jacksonville started a bit slow against Indianapolis, but scored the last 14 points of the game to get the 31-21 victory, and the point spread cover a week ago. The Jaguars weren’t at the top of their game, but it’s a good sign when a team can win by double digits when not playing their best. Still, playing Indianapolis and Kansas City’s a big difference.

Jacksonville needed a victory in the last game of the season a year ago to make the playoffs. This year, the Jags are planning on being one of the NFL division leaders throughout the season. The talent is there. Jacksonville just needs to put everything together.

The Jaguars were 5-0 straight-up and against the spread as a home underdog last season. Jacksonville defeated the Ravens and Cowboys in the regular season. The Jags made the furious comeback in the playoffs to defeat the Chargers. Those are three good teams. But they’re a step below Kansas City.

What to Expect

Kansas City took advantage of Jacksonville’s playoff inexperience last season. It had been five years since the Jaguars had appeared in the postseason, and there were probably a few doubts among the Jacksonville players about whether they could play with the Chiefs. That won’t be the case this season. The Jaguars expect to be a player in the run to the Super Bowl.

Both teams will try to mix the run and pass, which is when they’re at their best. Jacksonville ran the ball against Kansas City in the playoffs, which helped keep it in the game. The Chiefs had some success on the ground themselves.

The Jaguars had two turnovers to none for the Chiefs, and that may have been the difference in the game. Jacksonville did cover the 9.5-point line. But it’s quite a bit different this week.

Who to Bet On?

The Chiefs vs Jaguars betting odds of Kansas City -3.5 does make the Chiefs look like a decent wager. But don’t be quick to discount the Jags. Kansas City is going to get a fair number of bets by people who can’t picture it starting out 0-2. That makes sense and its record after a loss is impressive. But this game means just as much to the Jaguars, if not more, than it does to the Chiefs. This is Jacksonville’s opportunity to make a statement and get some revenge in the process.

The Chiefs vs Jaguars betting odds on the total of 51 is pretty much what you would expect. If both teams can run the ball, it should open things up for each team to throw the ball. The number is high, but either quarterback is capable of a huge game.

Strictly from a value standpoint, the Jaguars +3.5 is the best bet on the game. The Chiefs should be favored by 2 points. But getting that extra point with Jacksonville to make it Jaguars +3.5 could turn out to be pretty meaningful.

For NFL betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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