Cowboys, Winners of 14 Straight at Home, to Host NFC Rival Eagles
Eagles vs Cowboys Expert Picks: Dallas Favored by 3.5 Points
Can the Dallas Cowboys keep pace or overtake the Philadelphia Eagles atop the NFC East? This week’s matchup, Sunday night at AT&T Stadium, is sure to impact the NFL NFC playoff picture.
Dallas is a 3.5-point favorite (-105) and -180 on the moneyline, while Philadelphia is +3.5 (-115) on the spread and +155 to win outright. The Over/Under is 53 (-110 Over, -110 Under), the highest projected total on the NFL slate for Week 14.
Who has the edge? Read on as we break down both teams and give our Eagles vs Cowboys expert picks.
Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys 
Day/Time:
Location: AT&T Stadium; Arlington, Texas
Streaming: NBC
Eagles vs Cowboys Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Eagles are 4-1-1 against the spread over the last six games and an NFL-best 7-3-2 ATS on the season. The Eagles are the only team with a cover rate of at least 70%. Additionally, the projected total has gone Over in four of the Eagles’ last five games.
Meanwhile, the Dallas Cowboys are 8-4 ATS, including 5-1 at home. The projected total has gone Over in eight of Dallas’ 12 games, tied with two others for the highest rate (66.7%) in the NFL.
It’s important to remember that when assessing our Eagles vs Cowboys expert picks.
Knock ‘Em Down a Peg
Philadelphia’s Super Bowl push took a big hit in Week 13, with the Eagles losing 42-19 to the San Francisco 49ers in an NFC Championship Game rematch at home. The Eagles fell to 10-2 and also suffered their first loss at Lincoln Financial Field, dropping to 5-1.
The Eagles are still among the favorites for Super Bowl LVIII, with odds of +550. However, they suddenly look a lot more vulnerable. For one, their defense, billed as one of the best in the NFL, was gouged for 28 points in the second half and 456 total yards.
Sunday marked the first time since Week 8 that the Eagles, 3-point underdogs, did not cover the spread. Despite that, they’re still an NFL-best 7-3-2 ATS, including 4-1-1 away from home. This is only the third time this season in which they are an underdog.
Hoping to fix their woes, the Eagles signed former All-Pro linebacker Shaquille Leonard to a one-year deal. They were without starters Nakobe Dean and Zach Cunningham against San Francisco, and Leonard should be able to slide in relatively quickly to help. Leonard, 28, was voted first-team All-Pro with the Indianapolis Colts in 2021 after registering 122 tackles and a league-leading eight forced fumbles but had seen his playing time dip following multiple back surgeries last season. He was waived by the Colts on Nov. 21.
Fortunately for Philadelphia, quarterback Jalen Hurts appears healthy after an injury scare against San Francisco. Last season’s runner-up for NFL MVP, Hurts left the game briefly for a concussion check before returning early in the fourth quarter.
Home, Sweet Home
The Dallas Cowboys remained hot on Philadelphia’s heels in Week 13, outlasting the Seattle Seahawks 41-35 on Thursday Night Football. A 9.5-point favorite, Dallas failed to cover the spread for the first time in six home games this season. Still, it moved to 9-3 OU, a game behind the Eagles in the NFC East.
The Cowboys have been a force at AT&T Stadium, with 14 consecutive wins dating to last season. It’s the NFL’s longest active streak and the second longest in Cowboys franchise history. They’re averaging a whopping 41 points at home this year. Furthermore, quarterback Dak Prescott has won 16 consecutive divisional home games. Keep that in mind when analyzing our Eagles vs Cowboys expert picks.
Prescott threw for three touchdowns against Seattle, his sixth consecutive game with multiple scores. He now has 26 touchdown passes compared to only six interceptions on the season. As such, Prescott has joined a crowded field of contenders for NFL MVP. He’s now priced at +350, trailing only 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (+325).
Surely, Prescott’s candidacy could receive another boost with a big performance against Philadelphia. He fared well against the Eagles in Week 9, albeit in a loss: 374 yards, three touchdowns.
Dallas, which owns the NFL’s best point differential at plus-168, is now +375 to win the NFC East — Philadelphia remains a -550 favorite — and +425 to reach Super Bowl LVIII. It’s also +850 to win it all, one of six teams with better than 10/1 NFL odds this week.
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