Eagles vs Patriots Betting Odds: Philly Penciled in as Road Favorite

The Philadelphia Eagles return to the field following their setback against Kansas City in the Super Bowl. The Patriots are still trying to work their way back to the postseason. New England has missed the playoffs both seasons after Tom Brady left. And it’s not going to be any easier this season due to the strength of the AFC East. The Patriots will be a good test for the Eagles. They’re well-coached and don’t beat themselves. But the Eagles are more talented and should be fine despite having a target on their back. The Eagles vs Patriots betting odds are showing a game that figures to be competitive with points a little hard to come by.

Eagles Expected to be Class of NFC

Philadelphia is coming off an excellent season that saw them play in the Super Bowl. They’re slight favorites over San Francisco to return to the big stage once again. With Jalen Hurts running the offense and an underrated defense, the Eagles will be tough.

When you think Eagles, you think offense. Philadelphia was No. 3 in both total offense and scoring. The Eagles were No. 5 in rushing offense and No. 9 in passing, so were able to beat teams both ways. Miles Sanders led the Eagles with 1,269 rushing yards. But Hurts was second with 760 and was able to make something out of nothing.

The Eagles were No. 2 in total defense and finished tied for seventh in scoring defense. Philadelphia was best in the NFL at defending the pass, allowing just 179.8 yards per game. Teams were able to run against Philadelphia a little better, with the Eagles finishing tied for 16th against the rush. Most teams were unable to stick with the ground game against the Eagles after falling behind and being forced to throw. That helped players like Haason Reddick, who was No. 2 among NFL sack leaders with 16.

Patriots Finish Middle of the Pack

New England finished the season 8-9 and 8-8-1 against the NFL point spreads. The Patriots had one three-game winning streak and three two-game losing streaks. But the Pats were always within two games of .500 the entire season. The biggest problem for New England was the offense, which was No. 26 in total offense and No. 17 in scoring offense. New England didn’t run the ball very well, finishing No. 24 in rushing offense and the passing game wasn’t much better. The Patriots were No. 20 in passing offense.

The defense did its job, with New England finishing No. 8 in total defense and the Pats were tied for No. 10 in scoring defense. New England did a better job defending the run than the pass. The Patriots were No. 6 against the run and No. 16 against the pass.

You can’t say it was a case of New England losing some close games. The NFL scores show five of their nine losses were by double digits and only one game was decided by three points or less. In their losses, the average score was 19.1-29.0, and New England was 2-7 ATS in games it lost straight-up.

Who to Bet On?

The Eagles vs Patriots betting odds of Philadelphia -4 lends itself to giving the Patriots a good look based on last year’s results. Road favorites were 43-57-3, covering at a 43% rate. Favorites of 4 or more points fared even worse, going 13-28-1 against the number. The Eagles were 7-0 straight-up, but just 2-5 ATS in this situation last year.

But New England was 0-3 straight-up and against the spread as a home underdog last season. Granted, the Pats played the Ravens, Bills and Bengals, but Philadelphia is right up there with those teams if not better.

The Eagles vs Patriots betting odds of 45 on the total suggests to take a good look at the under. Games with a road favorite were just 33-67-3 in totals. That’s unlikely to hold up in 2023, but since 2015, games with a road favorite have gone under the total 55% of the time. That’s enough of a sample size that it merits consideration.

But you can go all the way back to the start of the 1989 season and see Week 1 games that have a road favorite are 75-103-4 (42.1%) in totals.

There hasn’t been much movement in the side or the total. The Eagles opened as 4-point favorites and are still there. The total opened at 46 and has moved downward a point, which appears to be the correct move. Take the Eagles and Patriots to go under the total of 45.

For NFL betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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