The Atlanta Falcons will visit the Tennessee Titans in Week 8. After opening as a half-point underdog, the Falcons are now 2.5-point favorites (-120) and -150 on the moneyline. Tennessee, meanwhile, is +2.5 (+100) on the NFL point spread and +130 to win outright. Meanwhile, the spread has dropped from 38.5 to 36 (-110 Over, -110 Under), the lowest total on the board.
Who has the edge? Let’s dive deeper into the Falcons vs Titans odds to find out.
Location: Nissan Stadium; Nashville
Titans vs Falcons Betting Trends
The Atlanta Falcons are 2-5 against the spread, including 1-5 over their last six games. The total has gone Under in each of the Falcons’ last five games. The Tennessee Titans, meanwhile, are 3-3 ATS. The total has gone Under in nine of the Titans’ last 10 games dating to last season. That’s important to remember when assessing the Falcons vs Titans odds.
Tannehill Out, Levis In?
With Ryan Tannehill sidelined with a high-ankle sprain, rookie second-rounder Will Levis is expected to make his first NFL start at quarterback for the 2-4 Tennessee Titans. Levis, known for his powerful throwing arm, impressed at the NFL combine before dropping to No. 33 in April’s draft, the second pick of the second round.
Levis was highly productive collegiately at Kentucky, ranking sixth in program history with 5,232 passing yards. He’ll reportedly get the starting nod over Malik Willis, a dual-threat who appeared in eight games last season as a rookie. Willis, the 86th overall pick in 2022 out of Liberty, completed only 50.8% of his passes and did not throw a touchdown in his limited stint with Tennessee.
While Levis is still very much an unknown, he’s certainly worth the opportunity for Tennessee. Tannehill has statistically been one of the NFL’s worst quarterbacks this season. He’s thrown thrice as many interceptions (six) as touchdown passes over his six starts, and Tennessee is averaging only 283.5 yards and 17.3 points per game. Both figures rank bottom 10 in the NFL.
Tennessee is dependent — almost to a fault — on Derrick Henry. The three-time Pro Bowler and former Offensive Player of the Year is averaging a healthy 4.3 yards per carry. However, his usage has been down in recent weeks, fueling speculation that his days in Tennessee could be numbered. Henry is averaging just 14.5 carries over the past four games. Keep that in mind when analyzing the Falcons vs Titans odds.
Is Bijan a Go?
The Atlanta Falcons have had quarterback issues of their own, with Desmond Ridder’s inconsistent play seemingly holding them back. Ridder, chosen 74th overall in 2022 out of Cincinnati, has thrown six interceptions compared to six touchdowns. While the Falcons are currently ranked eighth in the NFL in rushing (124.3 yards per game), they’re just 29th in the NFL in scoring (16.4 points per game). The Falcons have been held under 20 points in four of their last five games.
That said, Atlanta sits atop the NFC South at 4-3. It’s coming off a 16-13 victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, which was capped by Younghoe Koe’s 51-yard field goal as time expired. A 3-point underdog, Atlanta covered the spread for the first time since Week 1 against the Carolina Panthers. Ridder was held without a touchdown pass but completed 19 of 25 attempts for 250 yards and also rushed for a score.
Despite not being on the injury report, rookie first-rounder Bijan Robinson logged only one carry for three yards across 11 snaps. Robinson, who’s recorded nearly 600 all-purpose yards (404 rushing, 189 receiving), later said he’d been experiencing headaches but was not put through any testing. In turn, the NFL announced plans to investigate whether the Falcons violated league protocols by not disclosing Robinson’s status prior to kickoff. Be sure to monitor his status for Sunday.
Tyler Allgier handled the bulk of the carries for Atlanta but gained just 59 yards on 21 carries. He also had 53 yards receiving.
Handicapping the Game
Points will be at a premium. This is the lowest spread on the board. Theoretically, it shouldn’t take much for these teams to cover. Then again, both offenses have been abysmal. Add in the fact that Tennessee may be starting a rookie at quarterback and … well … there you have it.
Atlanta has been the slightly better team in the NFL standings, but it may be worth just zeroing in on the total so long as it doesn’t drop any lower.