NFL Offensive Player of The Year Odds Preview

Today we examine the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds because we’re close to Major League Baseball being the only daily betting option, so we thought it was time to get a jump on NFL props. A look at last season’s NFL stat leaders reminds us of how great of a season Justin Jefferson had for the Minnesota Vikings, compiling 1809 receiving yards, earning his the 2022 offensive POY Award ahead of Patrick Mahomes. We’ll be able to break down NFL lines soon enough, but until then, let’s see if we can get a few prop winners.

Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings, +900

In order to cash a ticket like this, the player must have health on their side. Justin Jefferson is the co-favorite to win the award again in 2023 with Ja’Marr Chase after playing in all 17 games last season In his career, the 3-time pro-bowler hasn’t missed one game due to injury, but how long can that last when you’re putting your money on the counter. You can say that for any player, but as time goes on it’s reasonable to think we’re playing with fire. If you’re still on board with Jefferson there could be about $35-$40 million reasons why.

Another great season would ensure we’ll make more than any non–quarterback in the league when it’s time to negotiate an extension. There hasn’t been a back-to-back winner since Marshall Faulk did it in 2000 and 2001 for the St. Louis Rams. For now, we’re going to stay away from a future wager on the 23-year-old but +900 is tough to pass up on the defending NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds.

Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow +2000?

Looking down at the list of NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds, two names stuck out if you’re looking for a trio of no-name long shots, Patrick Mahomes (KC), Josh Allen (Buffalo), and Joe Burrow (Cincinnati) certainly, jump off the page. Of the last 16 award winners, half have been quarterbacks although a signal-caller hasn’t won since 2018 when Mahomes won the award.

Both the Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals are projected to win at least 11 games this season and Buffalo 10. This won’t be done without a consistent play at quarterback. There is some concern for Mahomes who won the Super Bowl on one leg last season. Can KC protect Mahomes better this season and will Mahomes be allowed to throw the ball less than 4 times a game? We’re not sure how you can win an MVP Award without being the offensive player of the year, but that’s for the AP to decide.

For us, we think it’s a long shot, but at +2000 Mahomes must be in the conversation. Josh Allen is still living with a small chip on his shoulder after making the playoffs in four straight seasons but failing to deliver while losing twice to Kansas City. We like to put our money behind players who have something to prove and Allen fits in that narrative as does the Cincinnati Bengals’ Joe Burrow, who fell short of a Super Bowl ring in 2021 (23-20 loss to the Los Angeles Rams). We’ll shy away from Mahomes, but Allen and Burrow are worth a shot with the generous NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds being offered.

It’s Time for Ja’Marr to Chase POY Award

Ja’Marr Chase has already won the Rookie Offensive Player of the Year award in 2021, but now it’s time for the 2-time pro-bowler to take his place among the NFL’s all-time great offensive players. The only worry we have is his health after missing four games in 2023, four of which were due to a week six hip injury, forcing the 23-year-old to miss four weeks. We’ve always been under the impression that the third season is usually a player’s best, and that’s exactly what we’re betting on in 2023.

Chase will have to be in that 1700-1800 yard range, but that’s not a foreign goal to Chase who had 1780 yards receiving in just 2019 yards at LSU in 219. Ja’Marr has 4.3 speed with a 1.59 10-yard split and will be the strongest he’s been in his career. +900 with Chase is our NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds selection. We’re two months away from pre-season but it’s never too early to get knee-deep into current prop options.

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