NFL Week 13: San Francisco 49ers vs Philadelphia Eagles

49ers Just 2-4 ATS in Last Six Games, Eagles 6-2-3 ATS in 2023

The San Francisco 49ers (8-3) are headed to the City of Brotherly Love, which gets more comical with every visit, to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (10-1) in a match-up of two of the best teams in the NFL. According to our latest NFL power ranking the Niners are second, while the Eagles are third.

We still have the Kansas City Chiefs in the top spot. Oddsmakers opened San Francisco -1.5 but the public quickly pushed that up to San Fran -3 with a total of 47.5. Kick-off is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET / 1:25 p.m. PT and can be seen on FOX. We start our 49ers vs Eagles spread analysis with a deeper look at the San Francisco 49ers.

49ers logo 49ers vs Eagles Eagles logo

Day/Time:
Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Streaming: FOX

Revenge Is Best Served Cold

The forecast calls for temperatures in the high 40s, but rain is expected during the day, making for a chilly night as the game progresses. This is the return visit by the Niners after getting dismissed by the Eagles (31-7) in last year’s NFC Championship game.

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San Francisco QB Brock Purdy was knocked out in the first quarter and from that point on, the 49ers played a hopeless brand of football even though a less than 100% Purdy came back into the game in the second half. Purdy’s NFL QB stats can’t match Jalen Hurts, but you can bet a healthy Purdy will keep this game closer than a year ago.

This season the Niners are 3-1 ATS and 29-14 ATS since 2019 when against NFL teams who are .500 or better. Let’s turn it up a notch, against teams playing .600 or better, San Francisco is on a 24-13 ATS run (+9.44 units).

When facing a team whose record ATS is better than .500, the Niners are 19-9 ATS and 14-7 ATS when their opponents’ spread percentage is .600 or greater. We continue our 49ers vs Eagles spread analysis by turning our attention to Philadelphia.

Eagles A Rare Home Dog

We think we speak for most we say that surprised doesn’t exactly cover it when finding out the send-out number favored the 49ers on the road. According to our power numbers, we expected the Eagles to be a 2-point favorite. Never has a 10-1 team has been a home underdog with their starting quarterback behind center.

Over the last five NFL seasons, Philadelphia is 9-11 ATS as a home underdog and 4-9 ATS as a home dog of less than five points. This number clearly shows that the oddsmakers think the Niners are far better than Philadelphia.

NFL stats may justify that with the 49ers outsourcing their opponents by almost 20 points a game over their last three NFL games, while the Eagles have won their last four games by a combined 19 points and seven of those were at Washington (38-31). We conclude our 49ers vs Eagles spread analysis with our official selection.

Niners Facing A Team That Can Hold Up Their End

Over the last three weeks, San Francisco has put up 92 points but just one of those games has managed to go over the total because neither the Jacksonville Jaguars nor the Tampa Bay Buccaneers could give more than 14 points.

Even last week against Seattle, the Hawks gave us 13 points in defeat. They’ll face an Eagles team that is more than capable of matching NFL scores with an offense that averages 28.2 points per game (3rd). We’re going to bypass the NFL point spread side of this and jump on the over 47.5. Get on this game now because the number continues to grow. All the bets with your wagers this weekend.

For NFL betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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