Overs had a bit of a bounce back last week in NFL totals wagering. Overs and unders were each 8-8 for the week, which has to be considered a win for over bettors the way the season has gone. Unders are still leading overs for the season, with totals going 49-68-2. Totals of 48 points or higher are just 4-11-1 on the season. The NFL Week 9 totals odds have two games with totals higher than 48 this week. There are also five games with totals of 38 or lower.
Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Penn.
Line: Philadelphia -3 (-115)
A solid late afternoon game on Sunday, as the Dallas Cowboys visit the Philadelphia Eagles for an NFC East battle. The Eagles are leading the NFC with a 7-1 record, while the Cowboys have an NFL standing of 5-2. Both teams are undefeated at home so far this season, so Dallas has its work cut out.
The NFL results show both teams at .500 in totals this season, with Dallas going 3-3-1 and the Eagles are 4-4. That’s a bit of a rarity this season, where just four teams have more overs than unders. The NFL Week 9 totals odds have this game as the third-highest total of the week.
The Cowboys enter the game quietly scoring 28.1 points per game. Dallas isn’t doing anything overly impressive running or throwing the ball. But the Cowboys have been able to put points on the scoreboard when the opportunity presents itself. That’s half the battle in the NFL.
The Cowboys are No. 1 in the NFL in yards per point, scoring a point for every 12 yards gained. Dallas has been pretty average rushing the ball, gaining 3.9 yards per carry and averaging 117.1 yards. The passing game has been slightly better, gaining 6.8 yards per attempt. But that’s nothing to get too excited about.
On defense, the Cowboys have been decent, allowing 17.1 points per game. But they’re a little bit worse on the road, where they allow 21.8 points per game. The Cowboys allow 108.9 yards on the ground and only 178.6 passing yards. Dallas has one total higher than the 47 of this game, when the over/under was 50 against the Chargers. The Cowboys won 20-17.
The Eagles are scoring 28 points a game, but are rushing for 132.3 yards per game and passing for 255.1 yards. The Eagles are in the top five in yards per point with a number of 13.8. Philadelphia is averaging 45 more total yards than their foes allow on the season.
On defense, Philadelphia is allowing 21.5 points per game to NFL teams who score 21.3 points. The Eagles have done a pretty job of defending the run. But the pass defense is a little below average and the Cowboys will look to exploit that.
This one could be an old-fashioned shootout and take the over 47.
Location: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
Line: Cincinnati -2.5 (Even)
A pretty good NFL matchup for the Sunday, where the Buffalo Bills visit the Cincinnati Bengals. Buffalo is 5-3 on the season, while the Bengals have won three straight after a slow start to move to 4-3 on the year. The Bengals are favored by 2.5 points (even money). The NFL Week 9 totals odds have set this one at 49.5, which is a shade on the high side.
The Bills are averaging 27.8 points per game and doing most of their damage through the air. Buffalo is averaging 113.1 yards on the ground and throwing for 263.8 per game. The Bills gain 7.4 yards per pass attempt and are doing a good job cashing in, ranking No. 3 in offensive yards per point.
Buffalo’s defense gets overshadowed a bit by the offense. But the Bills are allowing just 17 points per game and are No. 2 in defensive yards per point, allowing a point for every 19.2 yards given up. Buffalo’s stats against the run aren’t very impressive, with teams averaging 5.1 yards per rush, and Buffalo is just slightly better than average against the pass. But the Bills make teams work to score.
Cincinnati’s offense has come to life a little bit lately, scoring 82 points in its last three games. For the football season, the Bengals are scoring just 18.7 points a game. But that could be behind them now. Cincinnati doesn’t really run the ball that well, but could have a little success against Buffalo’s rushing defense. The Bengals aren’t really doing that good of a job in the passing department, either.
On defense, the Bengals are allowing 20.6 points per game and much like Buffalo, allow the yards but are doing a solid job of keeping the points to a minimum. The Bengals are allowing 138.6 rushing yards and 231.7 passing yards. But Cincinnati is No. 6 in defensive yards per point.
With both teams making the opposition work to put points on the scoreboard, the under 49.5 is the way to look in this one for your NFL pick and parlays.
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