San Francisco 49ers 2023 Future Odds
San Francisco Remains Elite Despite Potential Regression
The San Francisco 49ers lost plenty of key players in the 2023 offseason, namely on defense. And yet the NFL odds expect this team to be a top contender yet again. Head coach Kyle Shanahan has remained the NFL’s premier offensive guru and the 2023 San Francisco 49ers stats should stay prolific. But with a regression on defense coupled with concerns at quarterback, is San Francisco worth its short betting lines?
San Francisco 49ers At A Glance
| Odds to Win | Opening Odds | Current Odds |
| Super Bowl | +900 | +1000 |
| Conference | +400 | +375 |
| Division | -165 | -170 |
| Regular Season Win Total | 11 (o+105, u-125) | 11 (o+105, u-135) |
| To Make Playoffs | Yes -450, No +350 | Yes -450, No +325 |
49ers Lost Plenty in Offseason, Still Have Quarterback Questions
Last year was a familiar season for San Francisco. The team over exceeded its 9.5 regular-season win total and went 13-4 with a return to the NFC Championship game. But as usual, San Francisco got hampered by injuries. Three of its quarterbacks got hurt including Brock Purdy, who is supposed to be this team’s new starter. In his place, Sam Darnold will get a chance.
Darnold played well in his six starts for Carolina in 2022, posting a career-best 92.6 passer rating. He should see a boost to his 2023 San Francisco 49ers stats thanks to playing in Shanahan’s quarterback-friendly offense. He’ll also be reunited with star running back Christian McCaffrey, who totaled nearly 1,900 yards from scrimmage along with 13 touchdowns.
But Darnold is just a placeholder until Purdy returns while Trey Lance, the team’s third-overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, has a chance to start. The rest of the team’s offense stays mostly intact. The offensive line did lose a few key players like tackle Mike McGlinchey. Then there is the defense.
San Francisco was last season’s top defense in both scoring and yardage. But the team lost five major contributors to the unit. It signed Jason Hargrave away from the Eagles to bolster the interior, however.
With short Super Bowl odds and a regular-season win total of 11, expectations remain sky-high for San Francisco. The team will have to navigate past the roster turnover and potential injuries.
Super Bowl Odds: Finishing the Job
San Francisco’s Super Bowl odds are its shortest under the Kyle Shanahan era. How can it not be when this team made a second consecutive Conference Championship despite being down to a third-string quarterback? San Francisco also won 13 games and had the best 2022 NFL team stats.
But backers have the right to feel concerned about this team’s regression. San Francisco’s physical brand of football has led to plenty of injuries. And the defense may not be as dominant as it was last year. Overall, while San Francisco remains elite, winning the Super Bowl remains a difficult task.
Conference Odds: Close to The Top
At +375, San Francisco is just behind Philadelphia (+325) to win the NFC and return to the Super Bowl. Philadelphia demolished San Francisco 31-7 thanks to Purdy getting hurt after throwing just four passes. The 49ers did hold Jalen Hurts to just 121 passing yards. But the Eagles compiled 148 rushing yards and four touchdowns.
On top of Philadelphia, several other NFC contenders improved and have closed the gap with San Francisco. The 49ers need to worry about a rival in its own division.
Division Odds: Prohibitive Favorites
The 49ers are significant favorites to win the NFC West at -170. But don’t just hand the title to the 49ers. The Seattle Seahawks did enough to be a threat. Despite San Francisco winning all three matchups comfortably last season, Seattle’s improvements make it capable of winning 10+ games.
San Francisco has also not won the division in consecutive seasons in over a decade. Seattle has consistently been a team to win 10+ games under Pete Carroll. And the Los Angeles Rams are not entirely out of the race as well. The recovery of its stars could make for a bounce-back season.
Regular Season Wins: Lofty Expectations
With all these expectations for San Francisco, the team is estimated to win 10 to 11 games. However, the oddsmakers have juiced the total to go under. The team has struggled to stay healthy consistently, especially at quarterback. And the mediocre offensive line does not inspire confidence in its ability to protect its QBs.
The defense will also be hard-pressed to finish atop the NFL again. Nick Bosa was the NFL sack leader and played 16 games. He needs to stay healthy as the team lost starters like Ward and Emmanuel Mosely on the secondary and Samson Ebukam for the pass rush.
To Make Playoffs: The Injury Bug Lurks
Speaking of injuries, San Francisco has been among the NFL leaders in man games lost to injury in the last five seasons. The team is 52-46 under Shanahan and has alternated winning and losing seasons due to injuries. Jimmy Garoppolo was notoriously injury-prone but that “bug” has transferred over to the team’s other quarterbacks.
The team can absorb the loss of one or two quarterbacks. But more losses on the defense could sink this team’s Super Bowl hopes and potentially the playoffs. San Francisco is a heavy favorite to make the playoffs at -450. But this team has missed the playoffs in three of the last six seasons.
Side Bets: CMC Gets His Due?
Here’s a not-so-fun fact: Christian McCaffrey has never won the NFL’s Offensive Player of the Year (OPOY) award. He’s consistently listed as one of the five favorites to win nearly every season. He’s listed at 12-1 this season and is a good bet to once again put up fantasy-crazy 2023 San Francisco 49ers stats.
But McCaffrey will have to stay healthy. He played all games last season, which is the first time he’s done that since 2019. This was also the same season he posted 1,000+ rushing and receiving yards. And yet he finished second to Michael Thomas for OPOY voting. Under Shanahan, McCaffrey could return to posting stats like this and it would be hard to deny him the award again.
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