Slumping Chiefs Poised to Rebound Against Patriots
Chiefs vs Patriots Betting Tips: Both 4-9 Against Over/Under
Losers of two straight, the Kansas City Chiefs will look to get back on track when they visit the New England Patriots in Week 15 (1 p.m. ET).
After opening as 10-point favorites, the Chiefs have dropped slightly to -9. They’re also -475 on the moneyline, with New England coming in at +385 to win outright. The projected total is 37, down from 38.5.
Can Kansas City take care of business on the road? Read on as we break down both teams and provide our Chiefs vs Patriots betting tips.
Chiefs vs Patriots 
Day/Time:
Location: Gillette Stadium; Foxborough, Mass.
Streaming: Fox
Chiefs vs Patriots Betting Trends
The Kansas City Chiefs are 7-6 against the spread, including just 2-4 in their last six NFL games. The Chiefs have also gone Under the projected total in nine of their 13 games, tied for the second highest rate (69.2%) in the NFL.
Meanwhile, the New England Patriots are 3-10 ATS. Only the Carolina Panthers (2-9-2) have been worse. Like Kansas City, the Patriots have gone Under the projected total nine times in 13 games.
This is important to remember when analyzing our Chiefs vs Patriots betting tips.
Defending Champs Sputtering
The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a 20-17 loss to Buffalo in Week 14. Kansas City’s now dropped two straight games but remain a game up on Denver in the AFC West. The Chiefs are still an overwhelming -1600 favorite to win the division, however, the defending Super Bowl champions have fallen down the NFL’s pecking order.
Baltimore’s taken over as the AFC favorite at +225, with Kansas City priced +300.
Kansas City’s been favored in every game this season, by as many as 12.5 points and as few as 1. It’s 3-3 ATS away from home but has covered in just two of its last six games. Keep that in mind when analyzing our Chiefs vs Patriots betting tips.
Patrick Mahomes has maintained his strong play, passing for 3,398 yards with 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. However, Kansas City hasn’t been nearly as explosive offensively. The Chiefs, who rank 11th in scoring (22.5 PPG), have been held under 20 points in four of their last six contests according to NFL team stats.
The lack of playmakers has been an issue. Outside of tight end Travis Kelce, receiver Rashee Rice and running back Isiah Pacheco, nobody on Kansas City has more than 25 catches. Complicating matters, Pacheco is questionable for Sunday after missing last week with a shoulder injury. If he can’t go, Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Jerick McKinnon will continue handling running back duties.
Offensive Ineptitude Mars Pats
The New England Patriots ended their five-game losing streak in Week 14, upsetting the Steelers 21-18 as 5.5-point underdogs. New England improved to 3-10 but still finds itself alone in the AFC East basement. With four games remaining, the Patriots’ focus will soon shift to the NFL Draft, if it isn’t already.
New England has been woeful offensively, ranking 28th in yards per game (291.4) and 32nd in scoring (13.0 PPG). Poor quarterback play is to blame. Neither Mac Jones — who’s second in the NFL with 12 interceptions — nor Bailey Zappe have proven to be the answer.
As such, New England has gone Under the projected total in four of its last five games. Notably, the total for last Thursday’s game against Pittsburgh opened at 31.5, the lowest for an NFL game in at least 15 years.
The Patriots made history the previous week in their 6-0 loss to the Chargers, becoming the first team since 1938 to drop three straight despite allowing 10 points or fewer.
Rhamondre Stevenson, the Patriots’ leading rusher, is questionable for Sunday with an ankle injury. If he can’t go, Ezekiel Elliott will likely carry the load again.
Handicapping the Game
Despite the brilliance of Mahomes, a two-time MVP, Kansas City doesn’t resemble the well-oiled machine that we’ve come to know in recent NFL seasons. The Chiefs are getting by, doing just enough to maintain their hold on first place in the AFC West. But even that’s looking a bit tenous, with the resurgent Broncos narrowing the gap.
Will Kansas City hold on? Perhaps. It’s still, after all, among the Super Bowl favorites at +700. But the Chiefs certainly don’t appear capable of blowing anyone out at the moment, even with Mahomes. Just look at the Chiefs’ stats.
For NFL odds this week, betting analysis and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.
