UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs Tybura Picks
Tuivasa vs Tybura Odds
The biggest fight this week is Tai Tuivasa vs Marcin Tybura, where the heavyweights throw down at UFC Apex.
Tuivasa vs Tybura odds don’t have much between them, with Tuivasa the slight favorite at -125.
A potential title shot awaits the winner, so everything is on the line in Las Vegas.
Tuivasa vs Tybura
Day/Time:
Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada
Streaming: ESPN+
Bam Bam Needs to Bam
Seeing Tuivasa get submitted by Alexander Volkov was a shock, and we want to see Bam Bam get back to his best.
The Australian’s career has gone downhill after three consecutive losses to Ciryl Gane, Sergei Pavlovich, and Volkov.
“You can’t sit around and cry about it. That’s not how I roll, you know what I mean? I move forward, I learn. And I live,” Tuivasa said. “I took a lot away from those fights. But what it was, I needed the time, I need the rest. I’ve had a rest now. I’ve been back home surrounded by people that I love. I’m refreshed now, I’m ready to roll.”
However, the 30-year-old packs a lot of power, and when his right hand connects, it’s usually lights out for his opponent.
Tuivasa headlines the next UFC event for a reason. It’s because he’s so exciting, and having one-punch knockout power comes with danger.
Still holding a top 10 heavyweight ranking, the Tuivasa vs Tybura odds favorite needs to get back up the rankings. He will always be a good pay-per-view addition, so he’s not against headlining a big fight later in 2024.
Beating Tybura won’t be easy. He’s an experienced fighter, but there is confidence with UFC odds, and that’s good to see.
We’re confident Tuivasa will get his chance to land big punches on the chin of Tybura, and he just needs to fight slightly smarter in the first round.
Tybura Running Out of Time
As a 38-year-old, Marcin Tybura doesn’t have much time to make his mark on the heavyweight division.
He was rising the ranks after beating Blagoy Ivanov, but after getting knocked out by Tom Aspinall in the first round, he needs to bounce back.
The Polish fighter is the underdog with betting markets, but the -115 odds is hardly an underdog price.
We want to see the Tybura back at his best, as it was good enough to defeated Alexander Romanov by decision in 2022 and Walt Harris by knockout in 2021.
He has heavy hands, including a knockout win over Greg Hardy. Despite Hardy proving to be a bust in the UFC, it’s still an impressive KO performance from Tybura.
If he wants to make a run for the title, he needs to send a message on Saturday. He needs a big knockout performance against Tuivasa, and he is being given every chance with Tuivasa vs Tybura odds.
Round 1 KO for Favorite
We predict a first round knockout for Tuivasa, who has the power edge over Tybura.
After a string of losses, Tuivasa needs to make his mark at UFC Fight Night, and he has the perfect opponent.
Tybura is a fighter who will look for a big power punch in the opening round, which leaves himself vulnerable. Tybura doesn’t have the same level of grappling as Volkov, so Tuivasa shouldn’t be worried about being submitted.
Getting Tuivasa at -125 is a great price, and we’re also locking in the odds for a first round KO. We can’t see this fight going deep into the allocated five rounds, especially with the current rounds line at 1½.
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