Phillies vs Mets Betting Preview: Mets Look for More Home Cooking Against Rival Phillies
Can Suarez Figure Things Out for Phillies Are Nightmarish Start to 2023 Season?
Mets Look to Continue Recent Dominance Against NL East Rival Philadelphia
Coming into the season, expectations were pretty high for both the New York Mets and defending National League champion Philadelphia Phillies. The Mets were tied for third in the World Series odds with the Phillies coming in eighth. If playoffs started today, neither of them would be in the National League field.
Both teams could use this series to start making a playoff push. The host team is the favorite in the series opener, according to the Phillies vs Mets betting preview.
The Phillies are just 10-14 in May with the Mets 12-15 during the month. The Mets have the worst era among National League teams in May with the Phillies 13th out of 15 NL teams heading into the three-game series.
The Mets are 12-9 at home this season compared to the Phillies going 11-18 on the road so far this season.
The Phillies split a four-game series with the Braves while the Mets dropped the last two games against the Colorado Rockies.
Projected Phillies starter Ranger Suarez has allowed 17 hits and 12 runs in 11 innings in his first three appearances. Suarez had a 3.72 ERA in two starts against the Mets during the 2022 season.
For the Mets, Kodai Senga allowed two runs in his first two starts. Since then, he has surrendered at least three runs in four of his last seven games.
When looking at the MLB schedule, the Mets are 9-8 against fellow NL East teams with the Phillies 3-4 in the division.
The Mets (+1600) are tied for sixth and the Phillies are (+2500) tied for 10th in the odds to win the World Series.
Phillies vs Mets 
Date, time:
Location: Citi Field, Queens, N.Y.
Streaming: TBS
Veterans Struggling for Phillies
When looking at the MLB stats, Bryce Harper is hitting .304 over the last seven games for the Phillies. However, some of the other proven big-league hitters have struggled to support the former National League Most Valuable Player.
Trea Turner is hitting .161, Kyle Schwarber is batting .130 with seven strikeouts and J.T. Realmuto has a .143 batting average and .190 slugging percentage. It is no wonder that the Phillies vs Mets betting preview lists Philadelphia as the underdog.
Philadelphia’s 20-somethings Bryson Stott, Alec Bohm and Brandon Marsh are doing what they can, but more will be needed up and down the lineup.
The total has gone over in 13 of the Phillies’ last 18 games against National League East teams.
Alvarez Catching On
Over the last week, no qualified hitter has a higher slugging percentage than 21-year-old Mets catcher Francisco Alvarez.
Alvarez is 8-for-20 with four runs, two doubles, three home runs and eight RBIs over five games. He is one of the reasons why the Phillies vs Mets betting preview favors the Mets.
First baseman Pete Alonso has a .364 average with three home runs to give the Mets a dynamic 1-2 punch. As is the case with the Phillies, holes in the lineup have kept the Mets from making more of a move in the National League.
Ten of the last 14 games played by the Mets finished over the total.
Who’s Hot
- Alec Bohm, Philadelphia Phillies 1B: Bohm has hits in each of his last five games and is hitting .389 over that stretch.
- Dominic Leone, New York Mets P: Leone has allowed two hits and no runs with six strikeouts in 3.1 innings in his last three outings.
- Yunior Marte, Philadelphia Phillies P: Marte has allowed two hits and no runs with three strikeouts and no walks over 4.1 innings in his four outings.
- Brandon Nimmo, New York Mets OF: Nimmo is hitting .417 with a double, three triples and six runs over his last six games.
Who’s Not
- Stephen Nogosek, New York Mets P: Nogosek allowed four hits, two home runs and five runs in one inning in Sunday’s loss to Colorado. He has a 7.80 ERA in May.
- Kyle Schwarber, Philadelphia Phillies DH: Schwarber is 2-for-20 with six strikeouts over his last six games.
- Gregory Soto, Philadelphia Phillies P: Soto has allowed three runs in two of his last four appearances as he took losses in games against San Francisco and Atlanta.
- Matt Vientos, New York Mets 3B: Vientos has been held hitless in five of his last six games. After homering in his season debut, he doesn’t have an extra-base hit in his last seven games.
Phillies vs Mets Injury Update
Philadelphia’s Alec Bohm missed Sunday’s game with a hamstring issue. Outfielder Cristian Pache and relief pitcher Jose Alvarado are on the injured list. The Mets are in much better shape from an injury department. The Mets do have six pitchers on the 60-day injured list.
Phillies vs Mets Betting Analysis
- It is hard to have too much confidence in the Phillies with the numbers put up by Suarez so far this season.
- The Mets have won nine of the last 11 games against the Phillies with four of those games decided by one run.
- The Mets are 6-1 in the last seven home games against the Phillies.
- Three of the last four games in the series finished over the total.
- The Mets are 21-18 when listed as the favorite with the Phillies 7-12 as an underdog.
- The Mets have covered in only seven of the 21 home games.
Follow us on Twitter
