San Diego in a Hole Without Darvish Facing Toronto

Toronto In Line To Win Series Per The Blue Jays vs Padres Odds

The Toronto Blue Jays will head to the West Coast to take on the San Diego Padres in an interleague three-game series over the weekend. They are both hovering around .500, which explains why the Blue Jays vs Padres odds are tight for Game 1. San Diego is favored on the moneyline at -115 with Toronto at -105. The total is set at 8.5 with a shade to the over at -115.

San Diego has gone 6-4 over the last ten games but just lost its most recent game to the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have also gone 6-4 in their last ten but lost their series finale against the Yankees on Wednesday.

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Although Toronto is 10-9, they’re last in the AL East. On the other hand, the Padres are currently second in the NL West despite being 11-10. We should get an even matchup and series over the weekend.

Let’s look at the Blue Jays vs Padres odds for the first game of the series. We’ll also preview and predict the other two games in the series.

Blue Jays logo Blue Jays vs Padres Padres logo

Records: Toronto Blue Jays (10-9), San Diego Padres (11-10)
Day/Time
:
Location: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Streaming: Sportsnet, TVA Sports

Toronto’s Inexcusable 9th Inning

The Blue Jays were just one inning away from sweeping the New York Yankees at home. However, up 4-2 in the ninth inning, the Yankees scored four runs to escape a potential sweep and salvage the three-game series against the Blue Jays.

Erik Swanson returned to the mound with the Blue Jays. It was his first appearance this season, as he was injured at the start of the year. Swanson only got one out and allowed three hits and three runs, including a home run to Giancarlo Stanton. The Blue Jays trusted Swanson but pitching him in a high-leverage situation for his first appearance back wasn’t the best idea. It certainly backfired.

Neck Tightness Takes Yu Darvish Out

Yu Darvish would’ve been lined up to pitch Saturday’s game for the Padres. But he has officially been injured with a neck injury. It’s unclear who will take his spot at this time. The options include Johny Brito, Randy Vasquez, Jackson Wolf, and Jay Groome. Brito has the most MLB experience and is already in the San Diego bullpen.

Blue Jays vs Padres Odds For Game 1: RL: Blue Jays -1.5 (+152) ML: Padres -115, O/U 8.5 -115/-105.

⚾ Game 1 ⚾

Friday, 9:40 pm ET
Yariel Rodriguez vs. Matt Waldron

Yariel Rodriguez made his first big league start last week. The right-handed pitcher lasted just 3.2 innings against Colorado. But he still held the Rockies to one run on four hits and two walks. His WHIP reached 1.64, but he avoided more damage.

It’s unlikely he’ll be that lucky again. Rodriguez allowed a .286 ISO and wOBA of .408 to 16 batters. While he struck out 37.5% of them and walked 12.5%. He won’t escape the damage when he faces better offenses like the Padres.

Rodriguez will duel it out against Matt Waldron of the Padres. Waldron has struck out 24.2% of batters but has mainly earned his strikeouts against righties. Still, against 66 total batters, Waldron has held batters to a .100 ISO and wOBA of .301. He’s been much better than his stats last year.

Against righties, the Blue Jays have only hit a .151 ISO and wOBA of .319 since last season using the projected lineup. Still, the Blue Jays have limited strikeouts to 19.2%, so they’ll at least put the ball in play frequently.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has the best stats against righties, hitting a .201 ISO and wOBA of .342 with 15.7% of strikeouts. But these numbers aren’t eye-popping, to say the least.

However, the Padres’ bats don’t have the most impressive numbers against righties. San Diego has only hit a .134 ISO with its projected lineup against righties. What stands out is the wOBA of .321 for the Padres against righties in that lineup.

They’ve got eight batters hitting a wOBA of at least .312 against righties since last year and eight batters striking out no more than 22.4% of the time against righties since last season.

Therefore, after looking through the recent MLB live scoreboard updates, we’d trust the Padres more in this spot at -116 on the moneyline.

⚾ Game 2 ⚾

Saturday, 8:40 pm ET
Jose Berrios vs. TBD

No matter who the Padres pitch, the Blue Jays vs Padres oddswill favor Toronto. The Blue Jays will pitch Jose Berrios, who is 3-0 with a 1.05 ERA to begin the season. His strikeout rate is only at 21%, but he’s still held teams to a .101 ISO and wOBA of .264 after facing 100 batters this season.

His ground ball rate is also high, and his fly ball percentage is low. He’s just had a little trouble with right-handers this season, giving up a .155 ISO and wOBA of .344 with only 13.8% of strikeouts.

That said, he’s been great. But an ERA of 1.05 is unsustainable.

It’s unclear who will pitch Game 2 of this series for the Padres. As we suggested earlier, we believe it could be Johny Brito, who has starter experience from his time with the New York Yankees.

But no matter who starts, the Padres will still struggle against Berrios. The pitcher has an unsustainable ERA but will still be the better starter in this game. The Blue Jays will be favored in Game 2 when the MLB betting odds are released.

⚾ Game 3 ⚾

Sunday, 4:10 pm ET
Chris Bassitt vs. Joe Musgrove

In the series finale, Chris Bassitt will take the hill. The Toronto righty has a 4.03 ERA against 98 batters this season. Bassitt has been terrific against righties, but he’s also allowed a .256 ISO and wOBA of .482 to 46 lefties to begin the year. In addition, Bassitt has walked more lefties than he’s struck out to start the year.

That’s not ideal. Except the Padres aren’t left-handed heavy in the lineup. Since last season, the lefties in the Padres’ lineup have only hit a .110 ISO and wOBA of .316 against righties.

That said, Bassitt will face Joe Musgrove of the Padres in this third game. Musgrove has watched his strikeout rate drop this season. His walk rate has also increased. On top of that, he’s allowed a wOBA of .380 to his first 96 batters faced.

While he has limited power, Musgrove has a 6.29 ERA on the season. He’s been awful against righties. Although he struggled with this last season as a right-handed pitcher, he’s been way worse analytically this season than the previous year.

Toronto has many more right-handed power bats in the lineup. Back the Blue Jays in this game. You can expect sharp MLB line movement to rip toward the Blue Jays.

For MLB betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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