Last week was a massive week for underdogs, with 8.40 units of profit. Now we’re back to give our readers three more plus money underdog winners. Before we get to that, let’s update the moneyline numbers and analyze what dogs are the best to put your money behind.
According to College Football betting line history, favorites are 326-108 (75%) -13.44 units overall, while underdogs against the moneyline are -88.86 units. As you can see, bettors are constantly having to pick and choose because a blanket on either the favorite or underdog simply isn’t going to produce a profit. There is a pocket of numbers that have done well for bettors this season, and that’s where we’re going to attack.
As we mentioned in the previous articles, teams that are 3-3 ½ point underdogs are doing the best at cash straight-up tickets with a 27-25 record good for 11.30 units of profit. With that being said, let’s look at this week’s card and see which college football teams are worth NCAAF week 8 underdog upset wager.
Location: Lexington, Kentucky
The Kentucky Wildcats are getting +155 back on a $100 wager, and it appears as if the public is all over this wager, with 87% of the moneyline coming in on the Wildcats. It will be interesting to see how the Volunteers respond after holding a 13-point lead over Alabama in the first half and then finding themselves scoreless in the second.
We don’t think you come back from that with ease against a team that wants to stake their claim as one of the better teams in the conference. The Wildcats are coming off their own implosion against Missouri after leading after three-quarters. We just feel like a loss to Alabama is taxing, were a loss to the Tigers would make a team angry. Expect the Vols to fall out of the NCAAF rankings. Take Kentucky +155. Let’s head to our next NCAAF week 8 upset.
Location: Conway, South Carolina
Streaming: NFL NET
It’s like the public can smell it. As in the Kentucky / Tennessee match-up, the market is crushing Coastal Carolina on the Chanticleers big (93% of ML wagers). Coastal brings in a passing game that is ranked 19th nationally, while Marshal was lethargic at best in their 20-9 loss to James Madison last time out.
There is also a statistic that can’t be ignored. The Herd have turned the ball over 13 times, putting them at 104th in the nation at taking care of the ball. Coastal Carolina has forced 12 turnovers this season, putting them at 12th in the nation. It’s safe to anticipate that this could make a significant difference in the outcome.
On offense, we expect the combination of quarterback Grayson McCall and receiver Sam Pinkney to have a big day through the air. Take Coastal Carolina and grab the +140.
Location: Ypsilanti, Michigan
If there was ever a college game that Eastern Michigan needed to win, it would be this one. In order to do that, they’ll need to be far better than their 18.3 points per game average shows they’ve been to date. Many in the program are at their best when they’re running an up-tempo offense, but even that has been not-so-great for a team that averages 143.1 passing yards per game.
They face a poor Broncos defense that has allowed 34.3 points per game this season, making this a prime opportunity to cash a plus-money winner. Take the Eagles +130, a number that could get better come kick-off. That concludes our NCAAF week 8 upset predictions. We wish you nothing but the best with selections this weekend. Hard to believe the NCAAF schedule is winding down.
Can’t get enough? Here’s more!
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- College Football Week 8 Odds: Some Movement Taking Place
- CFB Pac-12: (11) Oregon State vs Arizona Football Odds
- Purdue vs Nebraska Betting Odds: Cornhuskers Seeking First Winning Season Since 2016
- Virginia vs Miami Preview: Can Virginia Earn Another Massive Road Upset?