College Football Odds Week 6: Little Line Movement This Week

After seeing a number of significant college football line moves the past two weeks, it’s been pretty quiet on the college football front this week. Whether it’s a case of the sportsbook releasing sharper lines after having a few games to draw stats from, or bettors not having any real opinions, there’s far less line movement than we’ve seen in previous weeks. Now for a look at the college football odds Week 6 line movement.

The Kansas Jayhawks opened as 3-point favorites and now Central Florida is favored by 2. The line movement in this one is due to Jalon Daniels, who has been ruled as “doubtful” for the game. He’s listed as week-to-week with back tightness. That would keep Jason Bean as the starter for the Jayhawks. Bean had a strong showing against Missouri State and was less-than-stellar against Texas. But you have to take the opponents into consideration in both games. Bean isn’t as good as he looked against Missouri State, but is better than he looked against Texas.

Central Florida could also be without its starting quarterback, as John Rhys Plumlee works to return from an injury suffered in the team’s win over Boise State. But backup quarterback Timmy McClain has played better than Plumlee did, so there won’t be the same type of drop-off as there is at Kansas.

Regardless of who plays quarterback for either team, this is still expected to be one of the highest-scoring games on this weekend’s college football schedule. Both teams can run the ball and the passing games won’t suffer much, as neither defense is that spectacular. The Knights have allowed 274 passing yards per game against the two Big 12 Conference foes it faced. The Jayhawks allowed 325 passing yards to Texas and also gave up more than 300 rushing yards.

While not nearly as large, the most interesting line move in this game could be the total. The NCAA lines football opened at 62.5 and the game has been bet up to 64.5 despite the quarterback situation. The move makes sense and Bean should find UCF a bit easier to throw against than Texas. The over 64.5 is likely the way to bet this one.

The college football odds Week 6 didn’t show a whole lot of line movement on the Alabama at Texas A&M game. But it’s still fairly significant, as the Crimson Tide moved from 3.5-point favorites down to 1.5. It’s not often that you’ll see the line move against Alabama. It’s even more rare to see the line move past a key number like 3 against the Crimson Tide. Bettors’ disdain for this year’s version of Alabama might be a little bit misplaced.

The Crimson Tide come into the game averaging 32.2 points per game and allowing 14.2 points. The Tide have played a tough schedule that the Sagarin college football rankings have as No. 7 in the country. Jalen Milroe isn’t Bryce Young, but he hasn’t played as bad as people are making him out to be. He’s thrown for 836 yards and six touchdowns against three interceptions. Milroe has added four rushing touchdowns and he runs the ball well. He’s taken a few more sacks than you’d like, but when you play a sophomore quarterback, some mistakes are going to occur.

The Tide defense is strong as usual, and it will have to be against a Texas A&M team that averages 38.6 points per game. But the Sagarin ratings have the Aggies as having played the No. 49 schedule in the country. So Texas A&M should have a bit of a stat advantage against Alabama. The Tide have been especially tough against the pass, holding NCAAF teams which average 8.3 yards per attempt to just 5.6 yards.

The Aggies can move the ball on the ground or through the air and are more balanced than Alabama, which runs at close to a 65% ratio this season. The Tide will be the toughest defense the Aggies have seen this season.

This should be one of the better NCAAF games this weekend. While the masses are quick to take the Aggies, the betting value in this one is on Alabama -1.5.

The college football odds Week 6 have seen North Carolina move from -6.5 to -9.5 in this one. This is another game where the stats are pretty comparable, but UNC has played a much tougher schedule. The Sagarin ratings have Syracuse as having played the No. 93 schedule and the Tar Heels as having played the 20th-toughest NCAA FB schedule.

Still, Syracuse is 4-1 on the season and is averaging 38.2 points per game and allowing 14.8 points. But when you play the likes of Colgate, Army and Western Michigan, you should have impressive NCAAF stats.

The Tar Heels are 4-0 on the season and are coming off a bye week. This would normally be a decent spot to back North Carolina, but it’s a potential trouble spot for the Tar Heels. Miami (Florida) is on deck in what will be a huge game for conference title game implications. The winner of the game will become the favorite to win the Coastal Division and will likely face Clemson in the ACC title game. You can’t blame UNC if it’s looking ahead just a little bit.The Tar Heels don’t run the ball very well, but can gain big yardage through the air, but with the Hurricanes on tap, it’s a little too hard to pull the trigger.

For NCAAF betting news, NCAAF scores and odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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