49ers Running Back Props: McCaffrey Favored Across Board
San Francisco Workhorse Expected to Have Big Game
When looking at the 49ers running back props, you’ll see Christian McCaffrey favored across the board. And why not? McCaffrey led the NFL in rushing, was tied for the lead in touchdowns scored, and was the total yards leader. There isn’t much he can’t do. That’s reflected in the NFL betting lines for his proposition wagers. Since he’s the best dual-threat running back in the league, he has a number of pass-related proposition bets available. There are a few wagers available for some of the other San Francisco running backs. But it’s basically all about McCaffrey.
Christian McCaffrey Rushing
It’s no surprise McCaffrey is the favorite to have the most rushing yards in the game. If you want to bet he’ll have the most rushing yards in the Super Bowl game, you’ll be asked to lay -250. It’s a steep price, but it does make sense.
McCaffrey is a -160 favorite to have the most rushing plus receiving yards. But with McCaffrey, the bulk of the yards will come on the ground. He had just two games during the season where he had more receiving yards than passing yards.
McCaffrey is -165 to have the most rushing attempts in the game. This one isn’t a gimme. He had a high of 22 carries during the season. Isaiah Pacheco has had two playoff games with 24 carries.
If you want to bet McCaffrey will have the most rushes plus receptions, the odds are -200. It makes sense for the running backs to be large favorites here. The player with the most rushes will have more carries than the reception leader.
The over/under for McCaffrey’s rushing yards is 89.5 (-115 both ways). McCaffrey had nine regular season games with at least 90 rushing yards. He’s also had 90 in each of San Francisco’s playoff games.
The total on McCaffrey’s rushing attempts is 18.5 (over -125, under -105). He’s had 20 and 17 carries in the playoffs but just six NFL regular season games with 19 or more carries.
McCaffrey is a -150 favorite to have the longest run in the game and a -135 favorite to be the first player to hit 20 rushing yards. He’s -180 to be the first player with 40 rushing yards.
The over/under for McCaffrey’s longest run in the game is 17.5 yards (-115 both ways). He had 10 games, including the playoffs, with a run of at least 18 yards, so there isn’t bad value there.
McCaffrey is +340 to score the first touchdown of the game and +425 to score the last touchdown. If you want to wager on him scoring at some point during the game, you’ll be asked to lay -225. The last touchdown wager is interesting at decent odds If the NFL latest scores have the 49ers leading in the fourth quarter, McCaffrey could be the one to score and put the game away.
Christian McCaffrey Receiving
McCaffrey is +1800 to lead the game in receiving yards. While he should have some catches, he’ll have a tough time beating out some of the others. He had more than 70 receiving yards twice during the regular season.
If you believe McCaffrey will have the most receptions in the game, you’ll receive +1100 if you’re correct. He had seven receptions in one game and six in three others. But even that may not be enough to lead the Super Bowl.
The over/under on McCaffrey’s receiving yards is 34.5 (-115 both ways). Counting the playoffs, he had just six games with 35 or more receiving yards.
The total on McCaffrey’s receptions is 4.5 (over -135, under +105). He had five or more receptions in about half of his games, so it’s not the greatest wager you can make from a value standpoint.
The odds on McCaffrey having the longest reception in the game are +2000. He had just one reception of more than 40 yards, so he deserves the longshot status with this wager.
McCaffrey is +950 to be the first player with 20 receiving yards and +1200 to be the first player with 40 receiving yards.
The over/under on McCaffrey’s longest reception is 13.5 yards (over -125, under -105). McCaffrey had nine games, counting the playoffs, with a long catch of at least 14 yards.
Elijah Mitchell
It’s easy to forget the 49ers have other running backs, but Mitchell did have 75 carries during the regular season. None of the other running backs have seen the ball much since the playoffs started. That’s something to keep in mind when betting on the 49ers running back props. Mitchell has four carries for seven yards in the postseason. But he did score a touchdown and is +3500 to score the first touchdown of the game. If you believe he’ll score at some point in the game, you’ll get +650. He’s also +1800 to be the first 49er to score.
The over/under for Mitchell’s rushing yards is 3.5 (over -120, under -110). The problem with this wager is that he doesn’t always carry the ball. He had no carries against Green Bay in the playoffs, and there were other games during the regular season where he had no touches.
If you think Mitchell will have the longest run in the game, you’ll get odds of +6000. But his longest run this year was 18 yards.
Jordan Mason
Mason hasn’t seen the ball yet in the playoffs but still has a few bet offerings. He’s +3500 to have the longest run in the game and +6000 to have the first touchdown in the game. Mason is +7000 to score the game’s final touchdown and +1800 to score at any point during the contest. He did have three TDs during the regular season, so there are worse bets you could make.
Kyle Juszczyk
Juszczyk is in there to block and catch an occasional pass. If there were 49ers running back props for blocking, Juszczyk would be your man. But since there aren’t, you’ll find a couple of wagers featuring him.
He’s +4000 to score the first or last touchdown of the game and just +750 to score at all during the contest. Juszczyk is +2200 to score the first touchdown of the game for the 49ers.
The odds on Juszczyk having the most rushing yards or receiving yards in the game are +4000. Realistically, neither one has a legitimate shot of coming through.
The over/under for receiving yards on Juszczyk is 3.5 (-115 both ways), and the total on his receptions is just .5 (over -160).
What to Bet On?
McCaffrey is going to get the bulk of the wagers on all of the 49ers running back props, and deservedly so. He’s going to get the ball plenty and should build up some stats.
The game situation is going to have a big impact on some of the San Francisco running back props. If the 49ers are ahead, don’t be surprised to see Juszczyk get a few touches. San Francisco players absolutely love the guy and would like nothing more than to see him get some recognition.
Play the over 3.5 receiving yards and the over .5 receptions. Even though you hate to lay -160 on a prop bet, the 49ers will get him a reception during the game. Those who are looking for a bit of a longshot may want to take the +750 on Juszczyk scoring a touchdown. If the situation presents itself, San Francisco will give him the ball near the goal line.
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