Resurgent Bengals Look for Third Straight Win and to Move Over .500 Mark
Before the season, the Cincinnati-San Francisco matchup was considered a potential Super Bowl preview. Now, it is a showdown between teams with underperforming quarterbacks, and that is undoubtedly part of the Bengals vs 49ers betting trends.
Cincinnati quarterback Joe Burrow is the 27th-rated starting QB in the league, as he has battled injuries and inconsistent play this season. San Francisco’s Brock Purdy is second in passing efficiency. However, he is also in concussion protocol.
Regarding the NFL picks against the spread, host San Francisco is a 3.5-point favorite.
The teams don’t play yearly, but San Francisco has won four of the last five meetings. Cincinnati did win 24-14 as a seven-point favorite in 2015, the last time the teams met in San Francisco.
Offensive lineman Orlando Brown Jr. and linebacker Akeem Davis-Gaither are questionable for Cincinnati.
Not only is Purdy doubtful to play, but offensive tackle Trent Williams is questionable. Receiver Deebo Samuel is not expected back until mid-November.
Despite dropping back-to-back games, San Francisco (+500) is second only to the Kansas City Chiefs in the odds of winning the Super Bowl. Cincinnati, which is in last place in the AFC North Division, is tied for ninth at +2200 in the championship odds.
Location: Levis’s Stadium
Trouble on Both Sides of the Ball
Where do we start with the issues that Cincinnati is dealing with? Cincinnati has the fewest yards per game in the NFL and despite a talented trio of receivers, average the fewest yards per passing attempt of any team in the league.
It doesn’t help that Cincinnati ranks 31st out of 32 teams in rushing attempts per game. Keep that in mind when looking at the Bengals vs 49ers betting trends.
The Bengals have one of the worst run defenses in the NFL, and that is a problem with a game on tap against Christian McCaffrey, the NFL’s leading rusher.
The total has gone under in six of Cincinnati’s last eight games.
Laying the Hammer Down
San Francisco’s defense is among the best in the NFL regarding keeping teams out of the end zone in the first and fourth quarters of games.
Don’t forget that when looking at recent NFL scores, San Francisco has only allowed 19 and 22 points in dropping the last two games after a 5-0 start.
The 49ers struggled against Minnesota the last time out as they allowed the Vikings to convert eight times on 13 third-down plays.
San Francisco had issues slowing down rookie receiver Jordan Addison and now has to contend with Cincinnati’s Ja’Marr Chase. That might factor into the Bengals vs 49ers betting trends.
The 49ers have covered in 13 of the last 18 games.
San Francisco got a touchdown pass from Jimmy Garoppolo to Brandon Aiyuk with less than two minutes left in overtime as Cincinnati tied the game with two Chase touchdown catches in the fourth quarter and took the lead in overtime on an Evan McPherson field goal.
San Francisco covered the fourth time in the last five meetings, with the visiting 49ers the 1-point favorite in the 2021 meeting.
The 26-23 win by the 49ers barely missed going over the 49.5-point total.
Bengals vs 49ers Betting Preview
Plenty of eyes will be on the status of Purdy, with veteran Sam Darnold set to start if Purdy misses the game. Darnold hasn’t faced Cincinnati since 2018 when he was a member of the New York Jets.
Purdy was the toast of the NFL when the last player selected in the 2022 NFL Draft began his career with 13 straight wins when attempting at least 10 passes. With two touchdown passes and three interceptions over the last two games, he is being criticized as benefitting from being a system quarterback with game-breaking NFL players around him. That chatter will only increase if he misses the game and Darnold puts up solid numbers.
Obviously, keep an eye on any line moves when updates on Purdy’s status come out.
For Cincinnati, not having Brown in the lineup to protect Burrow could be a concern with the Bengals facing elite pass rusher Nick Bosa.
The NFL teams are a combined 6-6-1 against the spread so far this season.
Cincinnati can move over the .500 mark outright for the first time this season with a victory.
San Francisco has covered against the NFL betting lines in all three games this NFL season as the home favorite. This is the first time this year that Cincinnati is the road underdog.
The total has gone under in five of the last six road games played by the Bengals with the total set at 43.5 for this NFL matchup.
The 49ers have covered in the last 10 home games and even if Purdy misses this game, that shouldn’t impact the play of San Francisco’s outstanding defense.
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