Colts vs Titans Betting Odds Preview: Tennessee Gearing Up as Underdogs

Early Colts vs Titans Bets are Mainly Against Tennessee

Titans Opened as Slight Favorites; Now Underdogs

Fade the Titans at home at your own risk. Well, the public certainly did not wait to bet against Tennessee as the home team opened at -1.5 but is now at +1. This is despite having a 12-6 record both on the spread and moneyline as a home underdog under Mike Vrabel (since 2018). As such, the Colts vs Titans bets could be more favorable for the new underdog.

Colts logo Colts vs Titans Titans logo

Records: Indianapolis Colts (6-5), Tennessee Titans (4-7)
Day/Time:
Location: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Streaming: CBS

Colts Pad Road Stats Against Scrub Teams

Bettors must think: “Well, the Colts are playing well on the road. Hence, we’ll take them as dogs as against the 4-7 Titans”. But are they? Indianapolis does indeed have some solid road statistics: scoring 22 points a game while allowing just 19. Indianapolis is 4-1 on the road on current NFL spreads and moneylines. But let’s look more closely.

Indianapolis did beat Houston and Baltimore early in the season. This was with Anthony Richardson at quarterback. Since he got hurt in Week 6, the Colts have played Jacksonville, Carolina, and New England. They got smoked by the Jaguars 37-20 but held Carolina and New England to 19 points combined.

That win against the Patriots was as gnarly as it could get as Indianapolis was also held to 10 points. Most notably, the Colts were outgained by both the Panthers and Patriots. Had it not been for turnovers – the Colts forced five in total – they may have lost one or both games.

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But this team also commits plenty of turnovers on offense. The Colts have coughed the ball up in six straight games. Quarterback Gardner Minshew has 11 touchdowns against seven interceptions and six fumbles. Betting on the turnover props, and even a defensive touchdown, could be one of the best Colts vs Titans bets here.

The turnover fest is partly a reason why NFL scores have been so high in Colts games. Twelve of the team’s last 17 games have gone over the total, which is 43 in this matchup. This includes seven of its 11 games this season. Indianapolis is 2-5 in these high-scoring games. If the wheels fall off this team, Tennessee will gladly roll.

Titans Rolling at Home

Unlike the Colts, the Titans are underachieving if we go by the NFL preseason odds. But not at home, where the team is showing up. If we exclude their London trip, the Titans are averaging nearly 25 points per game and are 4-0. Tennessee may be ranked 27th in the NFL in scoring (16.8 per game), but it gets its mojo going in front of its home fans.

More notably, Derrick Henry scored a pair of touchdowns in their last game against Carolina. While he’s not the same dominant back that rushed for 2,000+ yards, he’s still on pace for another 1,000+ yard season. The “King” has also been a headache for the Colts.

Henry has rushed for 1,330 yards and seven touchdowns while accounting for 44 points in 15 games against Indianapolis. Tennessee has gone 8-7 in this span. Betting on him to go over his player props in rushing yards and touchdowns could be a solid Colts vs Titans bet.

The Colts could also get exposed on the ground. While they held him to only 43 yards and no TDs in their first game, the team has given up the seventh-most rushing yards and the third-most rushing touchdowns.

On top of that, Will Levis’s abilities as a quarterback complement the running game. Tennessee has also had a penchant for playing spoiler against the Colts back during the days of Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck. These are heated rivals and there’s still bad blood left even with the new regimes. Tennessee could just knock Indianapolis out of the NFL playoffs bracket.

For NFL scores, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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