2023 UCL Quarterfinal Rematch
Both Napoli and AC Milan were involved in midweek Champions League action. Napoli managed to get their second win in three games, while Milan fell 3-0 at PSG and are still goalless in the competition. With the two sides currently occupying the top four positions in Serie A, they’ll meet on Sunday in an important match. In fact, Napoli and AC Milan are the last two champions of Serie A and expect to be in the title race once again. Let’s check out the Napoli vs AC Milan soccer betting odds for what should be an excellent Serie A match.
Napoli and AC Milan last met in last season’s Champions League quarterfinals. AC Milan managed a 1-0 win at the San Siro and a 1-1 draw in Naples to advance to the semifinal. On the Serie A schedule in 2022-23, these sides split their meetings. Rafael Leao scored twice in a 4-0 Milan win at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Meanwhile, Napoli snagged a 2-1 Serie A win in Milan. The Partenopei have won three of the last five head-to-head matchups in Serie A.
Napoli Get Job Done Without Osimhen
Napoli striker Victor Osimhen, who won the 2022-23 Serie A Golden Boot, picked up a hamstring injury on international duty. He’s missed Napoli’s last two games, but the Partenopei have managed consecutive wins. First, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia starred in Napoli’s 3-1 win over Verona in Serie A last weekend. Matteo Politano scored the Partenopei’s opening goal but Kvara added two of his own.
Then, on Tuesday, Kvara assisted Giacomo Raspadori for the game’s only goal at Union Berlin in the Champions League. Napoli are capable of getting results without Osimhen, but he is second in the Serie A stats, with six goals this season. Politano has been in good goal-scoring form as well, as he’s added four league goals of his own.
With the Partenopei playing well following the international break, the Napoli vs AC Milan soccer betting odds price the hosts as +125 favorites. Along with Osimhen, Andre Zambo Anguissa and Juan Jesus are out injured for Sunday’s match.
Milan’s Attack Grinds to a Halt
AC Milan have won seven of their first nine games to open the season, but their recent Serie A scores have been underwhelming. The Rossoneri fell 1-0 to Juventus last weekend as Milan’s Malick Thiaw got two yellow cards in the first half. Just before the international break, AC Milan won a 1-0 win at Genoa. They’ve scored just one goal in their last four matches in all competitions.
PSG comprehensively defeated AC Milan 3-0 on Wednesday in the UEFA Champions League. Milan couldn’t deal with PSG’s relentless counterattacks and dropped to 0-2-1 in the UCL this season. Concerningly, AC Milan hasn’t scored a single Champions League goal so far. Still, all Rafael Leao, Olivier Giroud, and Christian Pulisic have managed at least five goal contributions in Serie A.
Thiaw will be suspended for this match, while Samuel Chukwueze and Ismael Bennacer are out injured. Despite their scoring struggles, the Rossoneri are still in second place in the league. An Inter Milan draw or loss vs. Roma and Milan win would mean that AC Milan would go back on top of the table.
Match Analysis & Odds
Victor Osimhen missed three games vs. AC Milan last season, and it shouldn’t be surprising that Napoli went just 1-2 in those games. Without Osimhen, the Partenopei scored just two goals in their three matches vs. Milan. That includes the 4-0 rout at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona last season, in which Rafael Leao scored twice for the Rossoneri.
Here, the Napoli vs AC Milan soccer betting odds price Napoli as +125 moneyline favorites. Kvaratskhelia will be expected to step up for Napoli in Osimhen’s absences, and he’s done a superb job so far. Whoever starts at right back for Milan, whether it’s Davide Calabria or Pierre Kalulu, figures to have their hands full.
Milan are +215 underdogs but are an interesting pick given Osimhen’s absence. They’ll also want to bounce back following a heavily disappointing outing on Wednesday at PSG. Bettors can take Napoli +0.5, +1 at -110 odds, while Milan -0.5, -1 shows the same. A draw comes in at +250, while under 2.5 goals are priced at -115.