Champions League: Man City vs Real Madrid Semifinals Odds

All Square After One Leg

City Host Real in Semifinals Decider

The stage is set for one of the biggest matches of the season. With the aggregate score level at one, Manchester City host Real Madrid in the second leg of the Champions League Semifinals on Wednesday. If Manchester City manage to defeat Real on Wednesday and Chelsea on Sunday, the Cityzens will seal the Premier League title and a berth in the Champions League final. Real missed out on the La Liga title this season but are aiming for back-to-back UCL titles. With a lot on the line, we’ll take a closer look at the Man City vs Real Madrid Semifinals odds.

MCI Man City vs Real Madrid RMA

Date & Time:
Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England, U.K.
Streaming: CBS, Univision, TUDN, Paramount+


Real Madrid and Manchester City drew 1-1 at the Santiago Bernabeu last Tuesday in a back and forth match. Vinicius Jr. scored a screamer for Real Madrid in the first half and Man City’s Kevin de Bruyne answered with a bullet of his own in the second half.

A draw came in at +265 Man City vs Real Madrid Semifinals odds and it was the first time in the last six meetings these teams tied. With last week’s draw, Real Madrid are now unbeaten in their last two matches vs Man City.

In the second leg of the UCL Semifinals last season, Real Madrid overturned a two-goal deficit to win in extra time and advance to the final. Still, Manchester City have won three of the last five head-to-head matchups.

Man City’s Treble Hopes Alive and Well

  • Last Match: 3-0 W vs. Everton
  • Key Injuries: D Nathan Ake (Day-to-Day)

Over the last few months, Manchester City have been nearly flawless. After Sunday’s 3-0 win over Everton, City have won 11 straight matches in the Premier League. Pep Guardiola’s side are also unbeaten in their last 22 matches in all competitions.

All City need to do to seal the EPL title is win one of their last three matches and they host a struggling Chelsea after taking on Real Madrid. A win in front of their home fans vs Real will mean City qualify for their second UCL final in the last three years. With City also in the FA Cup final vs rivals Manchester United, they’re in position to win a treble.

City haven’t lost to any team on their Champions League schedule this season. They destroyed RB Leipzig 8-1 in the round of 16 and drew and beat Bayern Munich in the quarterfinals. Man City created chances in last week’s match vs Real Madrid but struggled to involve striker Erling Haaland in the match.

Haaland had just 21 touches in the entire match but he did manage to score vs Everton on Sunday. Ilkay Gundogan added City’s other two goals vs the Toffees and has scored four goals in his last three matches.

Despite a quiet outing last time, Haaland still leads the Champions League in goals, with 12. The Norwegian striker has scored 52 goals in all competitions and City need a big outing from him. Midfielder Kevin de Bruyne won the Player of the Match award in last week’s draw and his goal injected life into the side. While Gundogan, Haaland and De Bruyne will most certainly be available come Wednesday, defender Nathan Ake is questionable.

Real Madrid Get Injury Boosts

  • Last Match: 1-0 W vs. Getafe
  • Key Injuries: D/M Eduardo Camavinga (Day-to-Day)

Carlo Ancelotti rested some of his star players during Saturday’s 1-0 victory over Getafe. Neither striker Karim Benzema nor David Alaba were in the squad. Defender Antonio Rudiger, midfielders Toni Kroos and Luka Modric and forward Vinicius Junior also started on the bench.

With a mostly reserve side, Marco Asensio’s winner gave Real Madrid all three points. Real should be rested and ready for Wednesday’s crucial match on the UCL schedule. Along with Alaba recently returning from injury, left back Ferland Mendy managed to make his first start in nearly four months.

While Alaba should start at center back alongside Rudiger vs Man City, it remains to be seen whether Mendy will play a part. Rudiger, in particular, was excellent last week as he managed to shut down Erling Haaland. Notably, Real Madrid have only kept one clean sheet in their last six matches, though.

Still, in the Champions League, Real have conceded fewer than one goal per game this season. They’ve picked things up defensively in the knockout stage, conceding just 0.6 goals per game. Real Madrid’s defensive solidity in the Champions League is reflected in their strong position in the UCL Standings.

Vinicius Jr. has been one of the standout performers of the UCL this season. The Brazilian international scored last week and ranks third in the competition, with seven goals. He also leads the UCL in assists this season, with seven.

Right winger Rodrygo has also added five goals in the competition this season and came up big vs Manchester City last season. Although Real Madrid are playing on the road here, history implies they can’t at all be counted out.

Match Analysis and Odds

Although the score is level entering the second leg, the Man City vs Real Madrid Semifinals odds price City as -350 favorites to advance. These teams have met three times previously in the Champions League knockout stage and Real have advanced twice.

Both of Real’s aggregate wins came in Semifinals fixtures, while City defeated Real in the 2015-16 round of 16. Defending champions Real Madrid head to the Etihad as +250 underdogs to advance to back-to-back finals.

City’s home record this season has been absolutely exemplary. They’re 26-1-1 at the Etihad in all competitions and have won their last 14 matches at home. During that stretch, they’ve outscored their opponents 49-7 and City are one-goal favorites for this match.

City sit at -105 odds to cover the spread and -170 odds to get a 15th consecutive home win. The Cityzens have also scored in each and every one of their home matches this season. Meanwhile, Real Madrid have failed to score in just three of their road matches all season as under three goals come in at -115 odds.

Real +1 displays -115 odds but they have lost their last two road matches by a two-goal margin. Carlo Ancelotti’s side have gotten healthy at the right time, though. Only Eduardo Camavinga is on the injury list after picking up a knock vs Getafe.

Real, at +410 odds, may be a popular pick here but they’ve never before won a match at the Etihad Stadium. They’re 0-2-2 all-time on the road vs Manchester City. A draw could mean a thrilling extra time or PK finish and one is priced at +350 odds.

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