Braves vs Brewers Odds: Milwaukee Matches Up Poorly with Atlanta

The Atlanta Braves ended their four-game losing streak after a come-from-behind win against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Braves will now enter their weekend series against the Milwaukee Brewers, hoping that a come-from-behind win will help their momentum moving forward.

But despite the earlier losing streak, the Braves are still plenty of games above the second-place Philadelphia Phillies in the NL East.

Meanwhile, the Brewers are a few games ahead of the Reds in the NL Central baseball standings. Milwaukee is 54-43 on the season and starting to push away from the Reds in the division.

The Brewers have played better baseball recently than the Braves, but that could change over the weekend. Let’s break down the Braves vs Brewers odds for the weekend series.

Atlanta’s Has Hit The Most Home Runs

The Atlanta Braves have hit 182 home runs through 95 games this season. That’s far and beyond the best number in the MLB. Atlanta has one of the best MLB lineups in the league. The Dodgers are second in the majors in home runs but have only hit 155 home runs when writing this.

The Braves have used their power to slug past other teams. They’ve got a league-leading OPS and nearly have a team slugging percentage of .500.

Matt Olson leads the team with 32 home runs. Meanwhile, Ronald Acuna Jr. is second in the MLB, averaging above .330.

Top Aces Won’t Make Outings

Milwaukee’s ace pitcher, Corbin Burnes, won’t appear in this series. He pitched in Milwaukee’s final game against the Phillies and earned a win. His ERA is now down to 3.49 on the season after putting together back-to-back scoreless outings.

The Braves dodged a bullet with Burnes pitching in the game before their series.

On the other hand, the Braves won’t have their ace, Spencer Strider, make a start over the weekend either. His turn in the rotation was the game before this series too. Strider is the best strikeout pitcher in the MLB and is putting up numbers that we’ve never seen in the MLB when it comes to strikeout rate.

Although those two aces are fun to watch, sometimes baseball betting is more fun without ace pitchers because you get more offense and runs scored.

Michael Soroka will get the start for the Braves in Game 1. Soroka has allowed a .209 ISO and wOBA of .333 against his last 48 batters. However, he’s given up a .235 ISO and wOBA of .362 to his previous 20 righties.

Oddly enough, Soroka has been worse against lefties throughout the season.

Milwaukee’s lineup has only hit a .141 ISO and wOBA of .314 against righties over the last month. Only three batters in the typical Milwaukee lineup have hit a high ISO against righties.

On the other hand, Freddy Peralta will get the start for the Brewers. He’s struck out nearly 35% of batters in the last month. If anyone can shut down the red-hot Braves offense, it’s Peralta. But he’s had issues against lefties over the last month, walking nearly 15% of batters and giving up an ISO of .179.

The Braves vs Brewers odds for Game 1 have the Braves favored at -124 and the Brewers sitting as underdogs with a +114 line. The total is currently at 9, with the odds at -115/-105 on both sides.

We don’t know who will pitch for the Braves in Game 2. However, Adrian Houser will get the ball for the Brewers. Houser is a right-handed pitcher giving up a .333 ISO and wOBA of .447 to his last 26 lefties.

Matt Olson is one of the many lefties in Atlanta that can do damage against Houser.

Bryce Elder was an All-Star this season. He’s held teams to a .127 ISO and wOBA of .300 throughout the year. Elder is a high-ground ball pitcher and has limited fly balls this season. He’s had a little trouble with righties over the last month and has only earned 11% of strikeouts in that time too.

Elder will take on former Atlanta Brave Julio Teheran. Like his teammates, Teheran has been bad against lefties over the last 30 days.

Atlanta’s offense has hit a .212 ISO and wOBA of .350 against righties over the last 30 days. Austin Riley and Orlando Arcia had struggled against righties previously with power, but both hit homers in Atlanta’s most recent game. The lefties in the lineup have all hit for a high ISO, and that’s huge going up against three righties that have struggled against lefties in the last month.

The Braves vs Brewers odds will likely favor the Braves in at least two of three games.

For MLB odds, betting news, analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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