The New Orleans Saints take on the Chicago Bears, looking to get back over .500. The Saints have lost two of their last three games. However, the offense is looking healthier than it looked all season.
Meanwhile, the Bears can’t say the same. They’re 2-6 and have lost three of their last five games. Starting quarterback Justin Fields remains week-to-week with a thumb injury. Therefore, Tyson Bagent will get his third consecutive start for the Bears on Sunday.
His first start went well. But everything returned to Earth in his second start when the Bears lost to the Chargers, 30-13.
On Sunday, the Saints are a 9-point favorite, with the total sitting at 41. Meanwhile, the Saints are at -415 on the moneyline, with the Bears holding a +330 price.
Will the Saints dominate at home on Sunday?
Let’s look at the Bears vs Saints matchup odds for Sunday’s 1:00 pm ET matchup.
Location: Caesars Superdome
Bears vs Saints Matchup Odds
The Chicago Bears and New Orleans Saints are both 2-5-1 against the spread. However, the Saints are 4-4 straight up, while the Bears are sitting at 2-6 on the season.
Most recently, the Bears lost to the Chargers, 30-13 as 10-point underdogs. Chicago’s defense never stood a chance against the Chargers, and the Bears didn’t cover the spread. However, the total has gone Over in six of eight games for the Bears. That’s more to do with the poor defense from Chicago this year.
On the other hand, the Saints finally earned a cover against the Colts on the road. They were 2-point favorites and defeated the Colts 38-27. This was the second time in four weeks that the Saints scored at least 34 points. But unlike the Bears, the Saints have only hit the Over in two of eight games this season.
The last time the Bears earned a win over the Saints was in 2008. The Saints have won seven straight games against the Bears since.
Was Justin Fields Thrown Under The Bus?
In Sunday night’s matchup between the Chargers and Bears, NBC commentator Chris Collinsworth suggested Fields must study Bagent.
That comment rubbed some people the wrong way.
Many believe that the coaching staff initially told Collinsworth to say that on the broadcast to push Fields to want to work harder.
That probably wasn’t the case. But if high-valued NFL people are saying these things, you should be worried about the Bears’ future with Fields.
The Saints Were Looking To Buy At The Trade Deadline
The New Orleans Saints came into the season with championship aspirations.
That’s why they brought in Derek Carr at quarterback and added Jamaal Williams at running back in the offseason.
At 4-4 on the season, the Saints certainly have a path to make the playoffs through the first half of the season.
However, the Saints didn’t make any trades at the deadline. They had preliminary discussions about adding Hunter Renfrow to the team for Derek Carr. However, the Raiders were going through the firing of Josh McDaniels, so they didn’t return New Orleans’ calls for Renfrow.
New Orleans didn’t add to their team. But they did acknowledge that all talks were to bring in players, not to get rid of any. That shows you the direction that the franchise is going in right now.
Bagent Won’t Fool Us Twice
Tyson Bagent has an incredible story. He played college ball at Shepherd and didn’t even play Division I football. But here he is, starting three consecutive games in the NFL as a rookie.
That’s awesome. However, in the three games, he’s thrown one touchdown and has three interceptions. His QBR is also at 40.9, and he’s added only 477 yards passing in those three games. Despite the interceptions, his completion percentage is at 70%. But the big play isn’t happening often with Bagent under center.
On Sunday, he’ll face a Saints defense that is dominant in the secondary. They’ve also got a great pass rush and continue to defend the run well enough. This is going to be a real challenge for Bagent.
On the other hand, the Bears’ defense has allowed nearly 2,100 yards passing in eight games this season. That’s over 262 yards per game. While the run defense has done its part, the secondary, pass rush, and missed tackles are all a concern for the Bears.
The Saints need to convert more on third downs and be more consistent as an offense. With a three-headed monster at running back between Alvin Kamara, Jamaal Williams, and Kendre Miller, the Saints should be better. Meanwhile, the passing game has to get Chris Olave going.
But after the Chargers dominated the Bears in the air, we believe the Saints can do the same on Sunday. New Orleans can get right back into the NFL playoff bracket picture with a win. They’re currently tied with the Falcons for the NFC South with a 4-4 record in the NFL playoff standings.
Therefore, when looking at the Bears vs Saints matchup odds, I’ll ride with the Saints at -8.5 and wouldn’t hate using the Saints on the moneyline for your NFL picks and parlays.