Bills Favored Over Jaguars in London
In 2021, the Jaguars held the heavily favored Bills to just six points. That is the fewest Buffalo scored in a game in the last two years and how much the Jaguars vs Bills betting odds have Buffalo by. This could be another letdown spot for Buffalo, who travel to London where the Jaguars are coming off a dominant win. This smells like fish and chips, and linebacker Josh Allen may have a feast over it.
Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, UK
Records: Jaguars (2-2)/Bills (3-1)
Streaming: NFL Network
Josh Allen’s Jaguars Shut Down Josh Allen’s Bills the Last Time
The last time these teams tussled was defender Josh Allen mugging quarterback Josh Allen. He intercepted him, strip-sacked him, and literally pushed him around. As a result, the superstar QB was held to his worst performance: zero touchdowns and three turnovers. Jacksonville pulled off the upset as +610 underdogs per the Jaguars vs Bills betting odds. Will Allen do it again?
If momentum means anything, then yes. Allen is coming off a historic performance against Atlanta last week, where he had three sacks, including a forced fumble. The Pro Bowler was a nightmare for Desmond Ridder, and it’s something he looks to replicate when his similarly-named counterpart comes to town in a “road game” in this NFL season schedule.
The Jaguars are 2-2 this season, and uncoincidentally, their two wins were the two games where Allen had three sacks each. Jacksonville is in the middle of the current NFL standings due to this uneven play from Allen and its defense. Allen helped bump his team’s pressure rate to 23.3% following the game. But they still allow an 88.3 passer rating from opposing QBs.
He’ll need to get in Allen’s face again as he did in 2021. Thus far, Allen bounced back from a poor Week 1 performance against the Jets. He got sacked five times in that game and threw three picks to one touchdown. In the three games after, he got sacked a total of four times. He threw just one interception against eight TDs.
If Jacksonville can pressure Allen, it will be solid dogs to take on the current NFL odds at +210. The offense may not even need to score a lot, so the total, 48 points, could go under for the seventh time in Jacksonville’s last 10 games.
The Other Defense: Buffalo Must Stop Jacksonville’s Rushing
If the Jaguars’ defense’s mission is to get at Josh Allen, the Bills’ defense must stop Jacksonville’s rushing attack. The Bills have allowed the sixth-fewest yards in total. But they have allowed the highest rushing yards per attempt at 6.3.
Buffalo allowed an 83-yard run from Breece Hall in Week 1 and a 55-yard run from De’Veon Achane on Sunday. The Jaguars have rushed for the eighth-most yards so far this season. Despite averaging under four yards per rushing attempt, Travis Etienne is an outstanding talent.
“He can run between the tackles and get outside,” Falcons assistant defensive coach Jerry Gray said of Etienne prior to their game on Sunday. “A lot of running backs really can’t do that: find the vision and get to the open space. And that’s what he’s really good at.”
With Etienne’s talents – he rushed for 1,125 yards with a 5.1 average last season – it may be only a matter of time before he breaks out. The Bills don’t want to be the team Etienne goes off against. He was hurt when Jacksonville last faced Buffalo so this will be the team’s first time facing him.
Those backing Jacksonville could bet Etienne’s rushing props on the Jaguars vs Bills betting odds. Jacksonville will need him to wear down Buffalo’s front to pull off another upset. Buffalo is 2-0 against the spread (ATS) in neutral sites under Sean McDermott (since 2017).
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