Kelce, Rice Lead Chiefs Receivers in Prop Totals
Kansas City is back in the Super Bowl thanks partly to its receivers, star tight end Travis Kelce and wide receiver Rashee Rice, stepping up to aid the passing game. It’s unsurprising that they now dominate the Chiefs’ Super Bowl wide receiver props in terms of their totals. But which other receivers could rise to the occasion and be worth betting on?
The Chiefs Receivers: Who Stands Out?
Looking at the early Super Bowl wide receiver props, Kelce and Rice are expected to command roughly three-fifths of the receptions and two-thirds of the team’s receiving yards. The rest will be accounted for by three other receivers (one tight end) and lead back Isiah Pacheco:
- Travis Kelce: 69.5
- Rashee Rice: 67.5
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 18.5
- Isiah Pacheco: 17.5
- Justin Watson: 17.5
- Noah Gray: 12.5
- Travis Kelce: 6.5
- Rashee Rice: 6.5
- Isiah Pacheco: 3.5
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 1.5
- Justin Watson: 1.5
- Noah Gray: 1.5
This is unsurprising as Kelce and Rice have accounted for 43 of the team’s 70 receptions (61.4%) and 485 of the team’s 718 receiving yards (67.5%). Kelce caught all 11 targets for 116 yards and a touchdown against the Ravens. He’s recaptured his All-Pro form in the NFL playoffs and even passed the great Jerry Rice for most receptions in the playoffs at 156.
Rice, the rookie, has also been a reliable target for Mahomes. He’s caught 20 of the 25 passes thrown his way in the playoffs. He was only held to 5.75 yards per reception against Baltimore. But he typically averages over 11.5 yards for every grab he makes.
Pacheco has caught six passes for 27 yards with most of this coming in the last two games. While his main production has come on the ground, he can be among the NFL leaders in yards from scrimmage given his usage.
The Best of the Rest: Offering Backup
Kelce is likely to keep producing given his all-around dominance. But Rice, as we saw against Baltimore, is starting to slow down. The 49ers will likely lock in on him and Kelce, which could open opportunities for other receivers.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling is a wild card here. He has low totals with these Super Bowl wide receiver props. But he’s come up with big plays recently. He may only need to make one catch to go over his receiving yards prop. He had a 32-yard catch in both NFL games against Baltimore and Buffalo.
“Football is gonna be highs and lows,” Valdes-Scantling said to the Kansas City Star. “As a perfectionist, you always want to make every single play. But in this game of football, it’s nearly impossible to make every play. You would love to. But being able to stay even — stay working — is having my faith in the man up top.”
At 10-1 to make the longest reception this Super Bowl, this is not a bad bet.
Justin Watson could also be a beneficiary if Rice falters. He has not caught more than one pass in eight of his last 10 games. However, he’s caught some big throws such as a 41-yarder against the Bengals. He’s at 15-1 to make the longest reception. This would be quite the Super Bowl prediction.
Speaking of backups, Gray is playing behind Kelce as a tight end. But he’s seen enough snaps. He was targeted five times and three times versus Baltimore and Buffalo, respectively. While he only managed to catch five of these, he could go over his prop totals by making two catches.
If the Chiefs are to beat the NFL point spreads again, any one of these supporting receivers should have a better game than their modest props indicate.
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