Titans vs Dolphins Betting Matchup: Dolphins To Run All Over Titans

Miami Should Be a No-Brainer Bet Here, Right?

Dolphins Favored By Nearly Two Touchdowns

As you can surmise from our Titans vs Dolphins preview’s headline, this NFL matchup will be affected by heavy rainfall. The latest reports have a 97% chance of showers with wind speeds up to 20 miles per hour during the day.

The rain is expected to be over an inch. In short: bet the total to go under? The books are already ahead of you as they have lowered the opener from 44.5 to 40.

Titans logo Titans vs Dolphins Dolphins logo

Day/Time:
Records: Tennessee Titans (4-8), Miami Dolphins (9-3)
Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
Streaming: ABC

Dolphins Have No Legs But They’ll Run, Run, Run

So folks better run, run, run to bet their spread at -13 and their team’s total at 30.5. The Dolphins average a whopping 38.8 points at home and have won by 14+ points in four of their five games.

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Hence, the team is 5-0 at home and 4-1 as an NFL pick against the spread (ATS). The one wrinkle here is the game against the Raiders.

Miami beat Las Vegas by a touchdown and failed to cover its 14-point spread. Though the team compiled 422 total yards, it scored only 20 points.

The Dolphins committed three turnovers and were held to only 99 rushing yards. On the positive side, the Dolphins’ defense has turned a corner.

The Dolphins forced three turnovers in that game, which helped them overcome an early deficit. Miami has not allowed more than 17 points in four of its last five games. The defense has forced 10 turnovers in the last six contests. Jalen Ramsey’s arrival at cornerback has helped the ‘D’ improve.

As such, we can no longer look at Miami as a one-dimensional team. It can score and make stops and now sits atop the AFC standings. Still, this team’s bread-and-butter is its running game. And it needs to get it back to its dominant ways.

Miami has averaged only 104.8 rushing yards in its last six games. That’s a far cry from its 148.2 average in its first five (if we exclude the Broncos game where they rushed for 350). Tennessee has a solid rushing defense so this will be a litmus test for the Dolphins as they look to get over their NFL odds.

Will We Remember These Titans?

Every once in a NFL season or so, we get a huge upset no one sees coming. This could be that game, maybe? It’s a foregone conclusion that Miami will run all over Tennessee and blow it out by 20+ points or so.

Tennessee is undermanned and is 0-5 ATS in its last five conference games and road games. This is building up to be a shellacking or another shocker.

In 2020, Tennessee upset Baltimore as a 10-point underdog (+355 on the moneyline). In 2021, it destroyed Buffalo at +205. Now, Tennessee has its widest line since that game against Baltimore. What a win would it be as a +640 underdog. But these are even worse circumstances for the Titans.

The NFL team is missing two critical NFL players on both sides of the ball: Running back Derrick Henry, the engine of its offense, and defensive lineman Jeffery Simmons, the main man up front.

These absences will impact this Titans vs Dolphins betting matchup given how it shifts Tennessee’s gameplan.

Tennessee is ranked in the bottom five of the league in most passing metrics. Will Levis is a rookie quarterback. Not having Henry as a fallback option will hurt.

And defensively, the Titans only give up 3.7 yards per carry, which is the fourth-best mark. But without Simmons up front, this could make the Titans more prone to breaking.

The total has been bet up from 43.5 to 46.5. With nearly 90% of the money coming in on Miami, this is a further indication that this Titans vs Dolphins betting matchup is a blowout-in-the-making.

For NFL results, NFL point spreads, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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