The Baltimore Ravens will take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Conference Championship Game to decide which team will get the chance to compete for a Super Bowl.
The Ravens ultimately had a more encouraging year than the Chiefs. However, the Chiefs have dominated football in the month of January ever since Patrick Mahomes started at quarterback.
While Mahomes has Super Bowl titles, Batimore’s quarterback Lamar Jackson doesn’t. That’s one of the few things Jackson hasn’t accomplished yet in his football career.
If Jackson can win the Super Bowl, it’s likely he’d also win the Super Bowl MVP. Every accolade that can be won would be covered by Jackson if he added those two things to his resume. He will likely get his second MVP trophy after this NFL season concludes.
That said, the Ravens are favorites against the Chiefs at M&T Bank Stadium. Baltimore is sitting at -3.5 (-115), with the total still stuck at 44.5.
Depending on the action that each book receives, you can still find a juiced 3 or 3.5 number on either side if you look hard enough.
We’ll take a look at the Chiefs vs Ravens odds for Sunday’s massive AFC Championship Game.
Chiefs vs Ravens Odds & Trends
The Chiefs have gone 11-8 against the spread this season. It’s been a major turnaround as of late… The Chiefs have won four straight games against the spread. Previously, Kansas City was below .500 in covering games four NFL matchups ago.
In three of those four covers, the Chiefs went Under the total. However, the game against the Bills in the AFC Divisional Playoffs went Over. That’s still been rare for the Chiefs. They’ve hit the Over in only six of 19 games this season.
Oddly enough, the Chiefs are just 5-4 at home but 7-2 on the road. They’ll be on the road against the Baltimore team, which is also better on the road. The Ravens have gone 6-1 on the road, but just 7-3 at home. That’s still an excellent record, but the Chiefs have fewer losses on the road than the Ravens do at home.
On the other hand, the Ravens have won four of their last five games against the spread. They were a little more consistent against the spread, covering in 12 of 18 games this season. Meanwhile, the Under hit nine of 18 games, but one game was a push.
The last time the Ravens and Chiefs played was on September 19, 2021, when the Ravens earned a 36-35 victory over the Chiefs at M&T Bank Stadium.
OL Joe Thuney Receives Positive News on Pec Injury
An offense isn’t much without a compatible offensive line.
In the AFC Divisional Playoffs against the Bills, OL Joe Thuney suffered a pec strain. He was given an MRI on Monday and received positive news. It’s just a pectoral strain.
But while it’s promising news, it’s still unclear if Thuney can perform in this game against the Ravens. Of course, he’ll likely do everything he can to play in this game.
If he’s unable to go, Nick Allegretti would likely make the start. He’s already made four spot starts for the Chiefs in various positions over the last two seasons.
Can We Expect Mark Andrews To Play on Sunday?
There was optimism that Mark Andrews would play in the AFC Divisional Playoffs against the Ravens.
He had returned from an ankle injury earlier than expected and had practiced entirely multiple days last week. Still, the Ravens didn’t want to risk it and didn’t let him play last weekend.
His status is still up in the air this week. He may play in this game. But there’s still no official word that he will play.
However, he was already designated to return from the NFL injured reserve list on January 12. He’d have more than two weeks of recovery before playing this game.
Andrews would be another massive weapon for the Baltimore offense, which is trying to win its first Super Bowl in the Lamar Jackson era.
Enjoy The Two Best Quarterbacks In The NFL
The Ravens and Chiefs deserve some credit for their defenses this season.
After all, the Chiefs carried Kansas City into the playoffs this year. It wasn’t the Kansas City offense. It was the consistent defense that carried them.
Meanwhile, the Ravens added the most sacks in the regular season and averaged more than one interception per game in the regular season.
Baltimore has a slick secondary and a dominant pass rush. And maybe the Chiefs don’t have as good of a secondary or pass rush. But the pass defense for Kansas City is also extremely good.
Both NFL teams have allowed under 17 points per game this season on average.
However, the Chiefs have given up 111.17 yards on the ground, while the Ravens have allowed 105.44 yards per game rushing. That’s where the defenses can be exploited.
Baltimore has several running backs that they can turn to. It helps to keep everyone fresh, and that’s ultimately why the Ravens averaged 5.5 yards a carry in their most recent win against the Texans after rushing more than 40 times.
On the other hand, Isiah Pacheco was close to 100 yards rushing against the Bills last week and also had a big day rushing in the AFC Divisional Playoffs. If the running games can get off to big starts, it’s easy to rely on Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson to do their part in the passing game.
The Ravens played in the highest-scoring NFL game this season, earning a 56-19 win over the Dolphins earlier this year. They can score points at will. Therefore, the AFC Championship score will likely be high-scoring. Our NFL picks include the Over 44.5 (-110) after looking at the Chiefs vs Ravens odds.