Expect Finishes From Many UFC 301 Prelim Fighters
UFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg odds Have Finishers on the Prelims
The Pantoja vs Erceg odds are out and currently, Alexandre “The Cannibal” Pantoja is a -190 favorite over the challenger Steve “Astro Boy” Erceg. Erceg’s odds are currently listed as +160 to beat the Brazilian in Rio de Janeiro. The over/under rounds line is set at 3.5 (-128 on the over and +100 on the under).
The headline fight comes as a bit of a surprise to some, Erceg getting a chance at a title much before many believe is deserved, but the flyweight division is thin, and Pantoja has already beaten most of the top contenders. We like Pantoja to continue his reign over the division, but some of the other fights on the UFC 301 card are a bit less clear-cut.
We are going to look at these upcoming UFC fights, the UFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg odds for the preliminary bouts, the top UFC odds tonight.
Alexandre Pantoja vs Steve Erceg
Day/Time:
Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Streaming: ESPN+, PPV
All The Fights
Main Card:
Jonathan Martinez (19-4) vs Jose Aldo (31-8)
Martinez is enjoying a six-fight win streak but faces a 37-year-old legend in Jose Aldo. The American is favored at -155 across most sportsbooks. Aldo has an implied win probability of 41.67%, but with his age and coming off a long layoff, we like the surging Martinez to take this one.
Anthony Smith (37-19) vs Vitor Petrino (11-0)
Vitor Petrino is undefeated and a heavy favorite at -590. His 85.51% implied odds show that oddsmakers expect Petrino to stay undefeated on Saturday.
Michel Pereira (30-11) vs Ihor Potieria (21-5)
Pereira is another favorite with a record of 8-0 inside the octagon. Many lines are around -550, and although the odds are short, backed by his home country, we expect Pereira to continue his streak of wins that started in 2000.
Paul Craig (17-7-1) vs Caio Borralho (15-1)
Borralho is on a tear, with just one loss in his career, and he is fighting the Scottish Paul Craig who has been struggling of late. Borralho is favored at -550.
Prelims:
Jack Shore (17-1) vs Joanderson Brito (16-3-1)
A close fight with Brito a slight favorite at -166. Although Shore only has one career loss, Brito has been knocking out opponents like crazy. A sharp UFC Fight Night prediction is for this fight to not go to the judges at -190.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-7) vs Iasmin Lucindo (15-5)
The younger Lucindo is heavily favored at -410. He has a 16-year age and a two-inch reach advantage.
Elves Brener (16-4) vs Myktybek Orolbai (12-1-1)
Both fighters are on win streaks (Brener five wins, Orolbai seven wins), but Orolbai is favored at -260. Expect this fight to end early, as Orolbai has fought to a decision only once since 2020.
Jean Silva (12-2) vs William Gomis (13-2)
A close fight with Silva a slight favorite at -125. This line has moved from Silva starting as an underdog, so get on it while you can.
Early Prelims:
Joaquim Silva (13-5) vs Drakkar Klose (14-2-1)
Klose is favored on the road at -180.
Mauricio Ruffy (9-1) vs Jamie Mullarkey (17-7)
The undefeated Ruffy is a favorite at -190.
Dione Barbosa (6-2) vs Ernesta Kareckaite (5-0-1)
Barbosa is a heavy favorite in her UFC debut at -218.
Ismael Bonfim (19-4) vs Vinc Pichel (14-3)
Bonfim is a big favorite at -500.
Alessandro Costa (13-4) vs Kevin Borjas (9-2)
Costa is a slight favorite at -130.
Main Event Bets and Props
Pantoja vs Erceg odds have Alexandre Pantoja as a favorite at -190 and Steve Erceg as the +160 underdog. With Pantoja fighting in his own country, defending his title, and having much more experience than Erceg, we expect him to win outright.
The odds for Pantoja to win by KO/TKO are +450. Odds to win by points is +250. The odds to win by submission is +245 and the odds for the fight to end in a draw are +2500.
For Erceg, the odds to win outright are +160. The odds to win by points are +540. Odds to win by submission are +1450.
Some books have an option to bet on a win for Pantoja by either decision or submission, at -110. We believe those are the two most likely outcomes for this fight, so that could be a bet worth taking.
For UFC betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.
