Blue Jays vs Dodgers Betting Odds: Can Toronto Upset the NL Powerhouse?

The Blue Jays are hanging on to an AL Wild Card spot; Dodgers lengthening lead in NL West

We start our Toronto Blue Jays (55-45) at Los Angeles Dodgers (57-41) odds preview by looking at the opening betting line for this week’s key series. Toronto sends Jose Berrios (8-7 3.39 era) to the hill against Michael Grove (2-2, 6.40) for the Dodgers. Oddsmakers have made Los Angeles a -115 favorite in game one with a total of 9.5 (under -120). The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm ET/7:10 pm PT. Let’s break down both clubs starting with Toronto in a match-up of two of the top MLB teams.

Blue Jays logo Blue Jays vs Dodgers Dodgers logo

Day/Time:
Location: Dodger Stadium

Blue Jays Avoid Sweep; Two-Game Lead For Wild-Card Spot

The Toronto Blue Jays aren’t far out of the lead in the American League East MLB standings (6.5 games), but they’ll need to get back to beating the better teams, starting with the Dodgers, in order to gain ground on the AL East-leading Baltimore Orioles. The Seattle Mariners took the first two games of their weekend series against Toronto, and had runners on first and third with one out, down a run, Sunday. Jordan Romano picked up his 27th save while stranding Dylan Moore and Kolten Wong to preserve Toronto’s 4-3 win. Against teams .500 or better, the Jays are 35-30 (-38 units) and 20-14 (+347 units) against teams playing .570 ball or better.

Those numbers bode well for Toronto against the Dodgers, who are winning games at a .582 clip. Over the last two seasons, the Jays are 36-25 (+887 units) against teams winning more than 57% of their games. Two-time all-star, Jose Berrios, gets the start after throwing four quality starts in his last five starts. The only concern is run support considering Berrios has received three runs or less in 9 of 20 starts, including one run or less four times. We continue our Blue Jays vs Dodgers odds preview by putting the spotlight on the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Dodgers Moving Up MLB Power Rankings

After a loss to the San Francisco Giants, on June 18th (7-3), the Los Angeles Dodgers fell to 39-33 in 2023. LA was swept by San Francisco, falling four games out of first in the National League West. It wasn’t that they were out of the race, but losing three straight at home to their division rival seemed to be a turning point. Since the Boys in Blue are 18-8 and lead the West by four games after taking two of three from the Texas Rangers this weekend.

According to our latest MLB power rankings, we still have Texas as the best team in baseball, followed by the Atlanta Braves and the Tampa Bay Rays. Right behind that trio is the Los Angeles Dodgers who are 25-11 in games decided by five runs or more. They’re starting to show glimpses of what their payroll says they should be with six wins by five runs or more in their last 13 games. Los Angeles is 67-53 (+226 units) against teams .500 or better and 45-33 (+566 units) against clubs playing .550 ball or better. The Jays numbers are good, the Dodgers are reliable. Los Angeles has won four of the last five games when Michael Grover has started. We conclude our Blue Jays vs Dodgers odds preview by giving our official selection.

Los Angeles Finally Get Home Cooking

The Dodgers have not played a home game in 16 days, primarily due to the all-star break, but it will be nice for Los Angeles to get back to Chavez Ravine after winning 29 of their first 45 at home (+118 units). If the Dodgers stay in the black for bettors this year, it will be the fifth straight season where LA has been profitable at home, where they are 224-94 (.704) +1717 units in that span.

Since 2015, the Dodgers have had only one losing season for bettors at home (2018 45-37, -1199 units). Since 2006, Los Angeles is 848-524 (.618) +361 units at home, while owning a winning home record in every season. We’re not going against that trend, take the Dodgers -130, but wait to see if a better number presents itself with 88% of the early moneyline wagers coming in on Toronto. That does it for our Blue Jays vs Dodgers odds preview, we hope all your wagers this week will be winners.

For MLB betting news, odds, analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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