Mets vs Yankees Betting Preview: Verlander Has Mets Favored in Series Opener

Yankees and Mets Trying to Turn Things Around

It might be a surprise to some to realize that heading into the latest Subway Series matchup the New York Mets have a better record in the month of July than the Yankees. When looking at the Mets vs Yankees betting preview, the Mets are favored in the series opener with Justin Verlander set to be the starting pitcher. Jose Quintana is set to make his second start of 2023 for the Mets in Wednesday’s game with Domingo German and Carlos Rodon pitching for the Yankees.

When it comes to the MLB schedule, the teams split the two games that they played in June. They also split the four games played in 2022. Four of the last five games between the teams finished under the total.

A quick peek at the MLB standings by division, the Yankees are tied for fourth in the American League East with the Mets in fourth in the National League East.

The Yankees are coming off a three-game sweep of Kansas City while the Mets lost back-to-back games to the Boston Red Sox.

The Yankees (+2500) are ninth in the odds to win the World Series with the Mets are well back at +800 in the championship odds.

Probable Starting Pitchers

• Tuesday: Justin Verlander (Mets); Domingo German (Yankees)
• Wednesday: Jose Quintana (Mets); Carlos Rodon (Yankees)

All or Nothing

The Yankees had to be happy to see one of the worst pitching staffs in baseball as they hit seven home runs in a three-game sweep of the Kansas City Royals.

Ten of the 18 runs scored in the three games for the Yankees came courtesy of home runs so keep that in mind when it comes to the Mets vs Yankees betting preview.

Anthony Rizzo hadn’t hit a home run in more than two months before finally connecting on a solo shot in the third inning of the series final. Rizzo was 1-for-21 coming into that game before going 4-for-4 with a double and home run.

Rizzo and rookie shortstop are both hitting under .200 in July while Giancarlo Stanton is batting just .222. Stanton does have six home runs.

Verlander Turning Things Around

After his second start in June, Justin Verlander’s ERA was languishing just under 5.00 for a struggling Mets team.

Since then, Verlander has allowed two earned runs or less in five of his last seven starts and has allowed just one home run in his last five games. Verlander matched his season high with eight innings pitched the last time out as he allowed three hits and one run. That will factor into the Mets vs Yankees betting preview.

Verlander began to turn things around when he allowed three hits and one run with six strikeouts in six innings as the Mets topped the Yankees 5-4 in 10 innings on May 14. He is 4-0 in his last seven appearances against the Yankees dating back to the 2016 season.

Who’s Hot

• Brett Baty, New York Mets IF: Baty has a double and two home runs with five runs scored and five RBIs over the last six games.
• Clay Holmes, New York Yankees P: Holmes has allowed one run in his last nine appearances. He has given up five hits with 10 strikeouts over eight innings in those nine games.
• Adam Ottavino, New York Mets P: Ottavino has allowed one run in his eight appearances in July.
• Gleyber Torres, New York Yankees 2B: Torres has hits in each of his last 13 games with a .377 average during that stretch.

Who’s Not

• Trevor Gott, New York Mets P: Gott has allowed six hits and six runs in 2.1 innings in his last four outings.
• Kyle Higashioka, New York Yankees C: Higashioka has two hits in his last 20 at-bats with seven strikeouts.
• Francisco Lindor, New York Mets SS: Lindor is 3-for-32 with one extra-base hit and 14 strikeouts in his last nine games.
• Carlos Rodon, New York Yankees P: Since making his season debut on July 7, Rodon has surrendered 12 hits, four home runs, and 12 runs and nine walks allowed in 14.2 innings.

Mets vs Yankees Injury Update

Infielder Luis Guillorme and outfielder Starling Marte are on the MLB injured list for the Mets while outfielder Tommy Pham is questionable.

For the Yankees, pitcher Luis Serna and infielder Gleyber Torres are questionable.

Mets vs Yankees Betting Preview

Six of the last seven games in the series have been won by the home team. Five of the last eight meetings between the Yankees have been decided by one run so that is something to keep in mind before making MLB score predictions.

Four of the last five games played by the Mets have gone under the total. However, four of the last five home games played by the Yankees finished over the total. The total is set at eight runs for Tuesday’s series opener.

The teams are a combined 68-54 when listed as the favorite compared to a 23-40 mark as underdogs.

The Mets have covered just 21 of 54 road games with the Yankees 26-28 against the spread at home.

For MLB betting news, odds, analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

Can’t get enough? Here’s more!

• Rangers vs Astros Series Preview: Texas Looks to Maintain Grip on AL West
• Blue Jays vs Dodgers Betting Odds: Can Toronto Upset the NL Powerhouse?
• Reds vs Brewers Betting Preview: Streaking Reds Are Favored to Take Monday’s Series
• Mariners vs Twins Preview: Can Seattle Stay Above .500?
• Orioles vs Phillies Betting Odds: Surprising Baltimore Visits Philadelphia