Buffalo Bills 2023 Future Odds: Super Bowl, Conference, Division, Regular Season Wins and Player Props

Despite repeat shortcomings of the past few seasons, the Buffalo Bills remain one of the three best NFL teams according to the 2023 Buffalo Bills stats and odds. There is some offseason drama, roster turnover, and a more difficult path this season. But Buffalo’s core remains, and the returns safeties Damar Hamlin and Micah Hyde and former Super Bowl MVP Von Miller to the defense can further push this team over the hump.

Buffalo Bills At A Glance

Bills Turn Around But Face Steeper Competition in 2023

Buffalo lost key figures in 2022, but it did not stop it from rolling to a 13-3 record and the second-best ranking in points, points against, and point differential. The Bills went over their 10.5 regular-season win total despite having one game (versus Cincinnati) ruled out due to what happened to safety Damar Hamlin.

He is now fine and widely favored to win the Comeback Player of the Year award at -750 on the sportsbook. But while many thought the Bills to be the “team of destiny” entering the 2022 postseason, the team fell short after a rematch with the Bengals.

As such, Buffalo now “drops” to third on the Super Bowl odds board for 2023. Brandon Beane stayed active in the offseason and brought in reinforcements, namely to the offense. Buffalo drafted Dalton Kincaid at tight end with their first-round pick, then used their second-rounder to take O’Cyrus Torrence at guard.

The Bills signed running back Damien Harris from New England to replace Devin Singletary in the free agency marketNew England to replace Devin Singletary. Beane also signed plenty of guards, with Connor McGovern from the Cowboys being the most notable. In short: Buffalo means business in boosting its running game.

The Bills should have one of the best NFL records in 2023, barring numerous injuries. Their schedule is a little harder, and the AFC East improved significantly. Still, Buffalo has the most experience as a core, and it’s why the 2023 Buffalo Bills stats should continue to rank in the top five.

Super Bowl Odds: Buffalo No Longer Favored

Aww shucks, Buffalo is no longer the odds-on favorite to win the Super Bowl. That’s okay, as the last three Super Bowl winners were not favored entering the season. For Buffalo, a lot will depend on where it finishes in the division. If Buffalo loses the division, it must play on the road to win the Super Bowl.

That shouldn’t be an issue, as Buffalo has the second-best win percentage (73.2%) as a road team in the last three seasons. But that also means having to play either Kansas City or Cincinnati in their respective stadiums. Buffalo will have less room for error.

Conference Odds: One of the “Big Three”

At +450, the Bills hold a slight edge over Cincinnati (+500) and are just behind the Chiefs (+350) as the favorites to win the AFC. Buffalo lost to Cincinnati in the playoffs last season and is 0-2 against KC in the postseason. The Bills may outdo either team with its 2023 Buffalo Bills stats but the NFL playoffs are different.

The key for Buffalo will be to win the war in the “trenches”. The Bengals front seven manhandled the Bills’. To Buffalo’s defense, it was also missing key players like Miller. Additionally, Hyde stated the team had “run out of gas” from all the adversity it faced, from Hamlin’s collapse to their owner, Kim Pegula’s poor health.

Division Odds: AFC East Will Be A Dogfight

The Bills are slightly favored to win the AFC East for the fourth straight season. At +135, Buffalo edges the New York Jets (+225). Their adversaries acquired Aaron Rodgers, and many NFL score predictions have the Jets beating Buffalo this season. On top of that, Miami is still a threat if quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is healthy and the Patriots improved.

Buffalo’s division wins, listed at 4.5, has been steamed to go ‘under’ at -325. The Bills have lost just three of its last 20 division games giving them the best division head-to-head record since 2020. The Bills swept the division 6-0 in 2020 but lost to both Miami and New York once apiece last season.

Regular Season Wins: Bills May Not Need 11 Wins

The Bills won 13, 11, and 13 games in the past three seasons. So seeing their regular-season win total listed at 10.5, even if the juice is on the ‘over’, is a result of the team’s schedule. Buffalo’s strength of schedule is ranked the third-hardest based on last season’s winning percentages.

But the silver lining here is that the Bills may not even need 12 or 11 wins to win the division. Its division mates also have a tough NFL schedules. It may be possible that Buffalo finishes with 10 or 11 wins and edges the Jets or Dolphins.

To Make Playoffs: Not a Guarantee

Even at -260, this is not a typical line for Buffalo, given its status. In comparison, Cincinnati (-300) and Kansas City (-450) have wider odds to make it. That’s due to Buffalo’s division being the hardest. The gap between Buffalo and its division rivals is not as big as Cincinnati and Kansas City over theirs. Still, Buffalo could earn a wild card spot, provided it wins 10-11 games.

Side Bets: Allen For MVP

Quarterback Josh Allen has frequently been linked to the NFL MVP award. He’s been a finalist a few seasons and consistently racks up passing yards, touchdowns, and even rushing yards. He may finally have a stronger case over Patrick Mahomes this season at +800.

If the Bills’ upgrades pay off, the Bills’ offense could be more balanced. The team won’t be as reliant on Allen, which could boost his efficiency. Offensive Player of the Year at 25-1 is not a bad bet either though this tends to go towards quantity over quality.

For NFL betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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