Houston Texans 2023 Future Odds

It’s a new era for the Houston Texans. Based solely on the 2023 Houston Texans stats and odds, this team should be better than its past seasons. That isn’t saying much as Houston won an average of 3.5 games in 2021 and 2022. With a new quarterback, a new star pass rusher, and a new coaching staff, Houston will flash plenty of promise. But how much of that lead to a better record?

Houston Texans At A Glance

Texans Could Be Frisky Underdog in 2023

The Texans won’t be winning the Super Bowl in 2023. But this time could still prove to be a force on the betting lines. Houston will likely be an underdog in most of its games and the team could just prove many NFL predictions wrong. A lot of it depends on how well this team can improve as the season goes.

To start, Houston may be ugly. It is a new coaching staff with a rookie head coach in Demeco Ryans. And the quarterback, likely to be this year’s second overall pick, C.J. Stroud, is also green. So fans and bettors may need to be patient as Houston could take a while to win. It may even be a sharp bet as the last winless team at +900.

The NFL team records’ lines did move for Houston following the offseason. The team’s 5.5 projected regular-season win total moved up to 6.5 and its overall outright odds all shortened. Still, Houston remains a non-playoff team on paper.

Winning five or six games would already be an improvement for Houston. In the last three seasons, the team has won no more than four games in a season. It has gone under or pushed against its regular-season win totals.

Houston has games against Arizona, the NFC South, and its own beatable division (AFC South). The Texans have plenty of room to flex their young talent.

Super Bowl Odds: Only in Fan Fiction

Only the best fantasy sports fiction can come up with a way for Houston to win the Super Bowl this 2022-23 season. Yes, the team’s odds improved significantly going from 300-1 to 150-1. But this still places Houston as one of the three unlikeliest teams to win. Maybe next season we can humor this a bit more. But not this year.

Conference Odds: See Above

Again, making it to the Super Bowl or winning it is best served as fiction to both Texans fans and bettors. In fact, 80-1 is not long enough to warrant betting on the team. Even if 2023 Houston Texans stats show improvement, winning the conference is another thing. First, the team needs to make the playoffs.

Division Odds: A New Contender Starts

While reaching the Super Bowl is a laughable thought, winning the AFC South may not be. Houston is 8-1 and ranked last to win the division. But this may be the weakest division in the NFL with Indianapolis and Tennessee sporting losing records in 2022 and Jacksonville winning just nine.

It’s not the worst bet to take Houston to somehow win. But the best bet here could be for Houston to not finish last. A second-placed finish is priced at +350 while a third-placed finish is at +200.

Regular Season Wins: A Tale of Two Halves?

The 2023 Houston Texans stats may look different in the first half of the season than the next. This is considering that Houston’s “easier” half is the first while the schedule gets a bit harder after Week 9.

So it would benefit Houston more if it can get going quickly as it can earn wins over Indianapolis, some of the NFC South teams which they play from Weeks 5 to 9 (with a bye in between), and Arizona in Week 11. Optimistically, Houston can rack up four to five wins by Week 12. That would mean the team can go 2-5 to close the year and finish 6-11 or 7-10. Oddsmakers lean on this team going just below 6.5 wins (-140).

To Make Playoffs: Division Over Wild Card

There is a reason why the Texans’ odds to make the playoffs (+700) are nearly the same as its odds to win the division (+800). The team should win the division to make the playoffs. That’s how Jacksonville got in last season. Simply having a 9-8 record may be enough to finish atop the NFL division standings. But not the Wild Card.

There are a slew of teams jockeying for those three Wild Card spots and that includes the Jets, the Chargers, and two of the AFC North teams. Most of them should finish nine wins or more. Houston will face a few of the min the regular season and getting an upset could just, maybe, make this team a contender.

Side Bets: Houston’s Next Super Defender?

In its young history, Houston has fielded some of the game’s best defenders. J.J. Watt is a future Hall of Famer. Mario Williams was a multiple-time Pro Bowler.

Pass rushers tend to garner the most attention when it comes to these. Six of the last eight DROY winners compiled impressive sack totals and Anderson could as well. In fact, at longer odds, it’s not a crazy bet to think he could even lead the NFL in sacks. With a defensive-minded coach, Anderson will have the guidance to push his performance as early as possible.

For NFL betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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