Jets vs Broncos Odds Preview: Two Bad Teams But a Good Total?
Let the Wilsons Cook
Jets-Broncos Total Could Be a Discount Considering
Denver allowed 70 points and 700+ yards in one game. Yeesh. The New York Jets: Zach Wilson. ‘Nuff said. So with the Jets vs Broncos odds separated by a point in favor of Denver, we don’t blame bettors for punting this game. But there is some betting value here: the total at 43.5 points. That might be a tad too low and worth betting ‘over’. Watch.
Jets vs Broncos 
Day/Time:
Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Record: Jets (1-3)/Broncos (1-3)
Streaming: CBS
Wilson Loading Up the Jets 2.0?
We cannot entirely fade Wilson and the typically poor Jets offense. After all, didn’t he just outplay Patrick Mahomes on Monday Night Football? And to think Wilson balled out, passing for 245 yards, two touchdowns, and a 105.2 passer rating – against a top-five defense.
The cherry on top for Wilson is his demeanor in the post-game press conference. Wilson actually said, “I lost us that game,” in reference to him fumbling the snap that ultimately killed the Jets’ offensive momentum against Kansas City.
Say what? Is this the same Wilson who usually says “I” when the team wins and “we” when the team loses? Maybe he’s finally taking pointers or is starting to get on the same page with Nathaniel Hackett, the team’s offensive coordinator.
Wilson may not be among the NFL leaders in quarterback stats. But he doesn’t need to be. He just needs to be good enough to get the Jets 22 points a game (league average in 2022). In fact, if the Jets did score exactly 22 points in their last 20 games going back to 2022, they would be 14-6-1 instead of 8-13.
“I think you’ve seen a lot of great leadership growth on him,” Aaron Rodgers said about Wilson during the Pat McAfee Show. “I’m very proud of the leadership he’s shown. I’m proud of the way he played. There was no pep talk I gave him to make him play better.”
If Wilson can keep this up, this team will be worth betting on beyond these Jets vs Broncos odds. But right now, the Jets can put up enough points to make betting on the ‘over’ a worthwhile play.
Denver is Going to Cook or Get Cooked
While Denver’s defense is a trainwreck, the offense is actually decent. The team is putting up 25 points a game and Russell Wilson is putting live NFL stats: nine touchdowns against one pick. He’s posting a 106.7 passer rating, which is his best mark since 2015.
Sure, this is bound to come down. And going against the Jets’ defense should do it. But even if Wilson can’t put up 20 on the Jets, the defense might just give up 30 to the other Wilson. Either way you slice it, the Broncos will have to do a 180; be bad on offense and good on defense to have the total go under 43.5.
Furthermore, this Broncos team has been bad on defense even before Vance Joseph got to Denver. Eight of the Broncos’ last nine games going back to last season went over the total. That’s due to the team allowing an average of 33.9 points a game. Denver allowed 28 or more points in six of these contests.
The Jets vs Broncos odds leave room for Denver to get better in this department. This is why the total is only at 43.5 when the team’s totals average a whopping 62.5 a game. Even if we exclude that Dolphins game, the totals average to 53.3 points.
Denver also has NFL injuries across the defense. That can further make it difficult to improve quickly enough against a Jets offense that could have a newfound mojo.
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