Week 5 Oddsmaker NFL Power Rankings: Looking More Legit

The Cream is Rising, Dogs are Doing, C-Teams are Stinking

Four weeks into the NFL season and things are starting to “stabilize” now. By that, we mean that these oddsmaker NFL Power Rankings may start to look like the token rankings. The best teams are near the top while the bad teams are at the bottom. Week 4 was relatively ho-hum compared to the upset-filled Week 3. And now, the spread is an even 50% (30-30-4).

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NFL Teams on How Rich (or Poor) They’ve Made You

With four NFL games played from each team, we can group every team into three tiers: the ones making bettors money, the ones losing, and the ones in between. But any experienced bettors can tell you that an even record on the spread is actually a losing one (thanks to the vig). So, sorry to every team with a 2-2 record against the spread (ATS) but unless they have a winning record or doing it at underdog odds, they’re on the losing side.

Top Tier: The Millionaire Makers

As we go deeper into the season, this top tier becomes smaller. That’s how it should be as only a fraction of NFL teams can be lucrative enough of a bet to be a “money train”. Here we have the only two undefeated NFL teams and the year’s most pleasant surprise: Tampa Bay.

  1. Eagles logo Philadelphia Eagles (4-0; 2-1-1 ATS)
  2. 49ers logo San Francisco 49ers (4-0; 3-1 ATS)
  3. Buccaneers logo Tampa Bay Buccanneers (3-1; 3-1 ATS)

Profitable Tier: “It Ain’t Much, But it’s Honest Work”

Now you can also rename this as the “Contenders’ Tier” as every team on here should be a playoff team when these NFL power rankings end. Kansas City is the only team that’s 2-2 ATS here and given how this team tends to have short moneyline odds, bettors have had to whale to get returns. Still, they’re 3-1.

  1. Lions logo Detroit Lions (3-1; 3-1 ATS)
  2. Seahawks logo Seattle Seahawks (3-1; 3-1 ATS)
  3. Ravens logo Baltimore Ravens (3-1; 3-1 ATS)
  4. Bills logo Buffalo Bills (3-1; 3-1 ATS)
  5. Dolphins logo Miami Dolphins (3-1; 3-1 ATS)
  6. Cowboys logo Dallas Cowboys (3-1; 3-1 ATS)
  7. Chiefs logo Kansas City Chiefs (3-1; 2-2 ATS)

Underdog Tier: Dogs Got Their Days

These teams are mainly 2-2 on both the moneyline and spread. A couple are pushing some exciting NFL scores too. What gives them an edge over the lower tier is that a) they’re making money as underdogs, and b) they’re exceeding expectations. Shoutout to the Rams who are the only unbeaten team on the spread thus far.

  1. Rams logo Los Angeles Rams (2-2; 3-0-1 ATS)
  2. Cardinals logo Arizona Cardinals (1-3; 3-1 ATS)
  3. Texans logo Houston Texans (2-2; 2-2 ATS)
  4. Titans logo Tennessee Titans (2-2; 2-2 ATS)
  5. Colts logo Indianapolis Colts (2-2; 2-2 ATS)
  6. Steelers logo Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2; 2-2 ATS)
  7. Packers logo Green Bay Packers (2-2; 2-2 ATS)

Bleh Tier: Barely Even or Losing Money

These teams are either even on the spread and moneyline or 1-3 or some combo. The Saints are 2-2 but winless on the spread like the opposite of the Rams. But these teams all share something in common: they’re losing backers money and underachieving by these oddsmaker NFL Power Rankings standards.

  1. Commanders logo Washington Commanders (2-2; 2-2 ATS)
  2. Chargers logo Los Angeles Chargers (2-2; 2-2 ATS)
  3. Jaguars logo Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2; 2-2 ATS)
  4. Browns logo Cleveland Browns (2-2; 2-2 ATS)
  5. Falcons logo Atlanta Falcons (2-2; 1-3 ATS)
  6. Jets logo New York Jets (1-3; 2-2 ATS)
  7. Saints logo New Orleans Saints (2-2; 0-3-1 ATS)

Worst Tier: The Bankroll Burners

Want to bet against a team? Take your pick from these runts here. Nearly every team here has won one game or fewer. We wanted to make an even lower tier for Carolina and Chicago as the only two winless teams on both the moneyline and spread. Check the recent NFL scores and odds and fade these losers.

  1. Patriots logo New England Patriots (1-3; 1-3 ATS)
  2. Raiders logo Las Vegas Raiders (1-3; 1-3 ATS)
  3. Bengals logo Cincinnati Bengals (1-3; 0-3-1 ATS)
  4. Vikings logo Minnesota Vikings (1-3; 1-2-1 ATS)
  5. Broncos logo Denver Broncos (1-3; 0-3-1 ATS)
  6. Giants logo New York Giants (1-3; 0-4 ATS)
  7. Panthers logo Carolina Panthers (0-4; 0-3-1 ATS)
  8. Bears logo Chicago Bears (0-4; 0-3-1 ATS)

For NFL betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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