Packers vs Broncos Odds: Green Bay Road Favorites
Denver Still Looking For Home Victory This Season
A 1-5 start to the season isn’t exactly what the Denver Broncos were looking for when they signed Sean Payton. But after six games, the Broncos look just as bad as they did a year ago. Sure, Denver is scoring a little bit more. But the Broncos are allowing even more points than last season. Green Bay isn’t tearing it up in the NFL standings with a 2-3 record. But the Packers have done enough that the Packers vs Broncos odds have Green Bay favored by 1.5 points with a total of 45.
Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos 
Day/Time:
Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado
Moneyline: Green Bay -1.5
Total: 45
Streaming: CBS
Packers Favored For First Time in 2023
After being an underdog in each of its first five games, Green Bay is now a road favorite at Denver. The Packers weren’t huge underdogs in any of their previous games. The 3 points Green Bay received at Atlanta was the biggest spread they faced. The Packers lost 25-24.
Jordan Love hasn’t really looked out of place for the Packers. His numbers would likely look even better if Green Bay had a running game. But gaining 81.6 yards per game and 3.5 yards per rush doesn’t get the job done in the NFL. Green Bay is throwing for 200 yards per game, so they’re at least able to move the ball through the air.
The defense hasn’t been bad, with the exception of the game against Detroit, when it allowed 34 points. The Packers are holding NFL teams to 337.8 yards per game and allowing 5.1 yards per play.
Broncos Looking For ATS Win
The Denver Broncos are 1-5 straight-up this season and 0-5-1 against the spread. Denver’s lone win came against Chicago in a 31-28 victory as 3-point favorites. Unlike last season, the problem hasn’t completely been the Denver offense. It’s the defense that has continued with its nosedive from the end of last year. The Broncos are allowing 33.3 points per game.
Denver’s rushing defense has been terrible, allowing 172 yards per game and 5.6 yards per carry. The Broncos aren’t anything special against the pass, allowing 76.4% completions and teams pass for 268 yards per game. Denver needs to get its defense on track in a hurry. The NFL football schedule shows Kansas City and Buffalo waiting in the wings after the Pack.
The Broncos are running the ball well, gaining 4.9 yards per carry. The biggest problem is Denver won’t stick with the run, throwing 30.8 times per game and running 21.5 times. The Broncos need to run more to keep the defense off the field, if nothing else. Denver is passing for 200.3 yards per game, which is pretty average considering the competition faced.
What to Expect
The Packers are probably smart enough to come out with the intention of trying to run the ball. It isn’t that Green Bay is good at rushing. It’s a matter of how poor the Broncos have been stopping the run. If the Packers can move the ball on the ground, Love will have a little more time to throw and should be able to make some completions.
The Broncos should also be looking to run. The Packers are average stopping the rushing game. But Denver can’t keep leaving a poor defense on the field for more than 33 minutes a game and expect good things to happen. Payton loves the passing game and the team has a lot of money tied up in Russell Wilson, but the team needs to do what gives them the best chance of winning the game.
Who to Bet On?
The Packers vs Broncos odds of Green Bay -1.5 makes a little bit of sense. But not too much, as it opens the door for a lot of teasers using Denver +7.5. Having the game even or Packers -1 makes a little more sense. But the sportsbook knows what it’s doing far more often that not. The line makes it tough to use either team as one of your NFL picks against the spread.
The Packers vs Broncos odds on the total of 45 is a little more interesting. Denver can’t stop anybody, but the unders have dominated the over/under wagers so far this season. The under has been even more impressive in games involving road favorites. These games have gone 12-25-1 in totals and those wanting to place a wager on this game should look to the under.
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